TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2dd8…eb7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.37
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$435
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$108
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$405
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$630
Will the Thunder and Bucks combine for 215 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+122.2%+$280.5
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+85.2%+$357.49
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$756
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+35.1%+$166.83
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+69.5%+$241.09
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$637
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$408
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+316.7%+$988
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+127.3%+$682.06
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$359.98
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+63.9%+$167.66
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+104.1%+$317.7
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+61.3%+$455.98
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$540.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,429.99
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,770
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$720
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,903.98
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$911.98
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,100
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$462.74
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$513
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$160
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.99
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$220
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$547.65
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+112.8%+$487.42
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+85.2%+$546.59
Flames vs. Predatorsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+163.2%+$1,224.39
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+244.8%+$506.27
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+58.7%+$627.61
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2024, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.16
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.08
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$376
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.45
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$517.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+203%+$736.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. SMUbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+127.3%+$113.68
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$390
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$636.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,359.79
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$460
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+61.3%+$456
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.