NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3aee9f61d6ac854fab8251c324e1b8303e48fc57c0584f6394205113cb3d5e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Predators, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,310,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,216,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,310,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Penguins | 58c | 2,203,648$1,283,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920,024.77 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Predators | 42c | 823,278$348,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348,536.56 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Predators | 41c | 498,751$204,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,487.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Predators | 43c | 348,657$149,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,830.5 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Predators | 42c | 198,616$83,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,395.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Predators | 41c | 173,686$70,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,731.66 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Predators | 42c | 140,000$58,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,200 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Predators | 42c | 100,618$41,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,871.89 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Predators | 41c | 93,979$38,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,658.08 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Predators | 41c | 65,000$26,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,849.99 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Predators | 43c | 64,541$28,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,070.34 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Predators | 42c | 60,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Predators | 46c | 30,501$13,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,953.9 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Predators | 43c | 26,870$11,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,603.44 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Predators | 42c | 23,693$9,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,950.89 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 4c | 23,212$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Predators | 43c | 21,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 42c | 20,365$8,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,563.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Predators | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Predators | 42c | 17,340$7,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,239.93 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Predators | 21c | 16,144$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.6 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…b25fbacked Predators | 0c | 15,820$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Predators | 41c | 14,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.97 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Predators | 43c | 11,362$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.48 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Predators | 43c | 10,619$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Predators | 43c | 10,189$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.32 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Predators | 42c | 10,110$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.2 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Penguins | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Predators | 42c | 9,483$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Predators | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Predators | 47c | 8,995$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.64 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Penguins | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Predators | 44c | 8,226$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.23 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Predators | 42c | 8,131$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.06 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Predators | 1c | 7,993$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Predators | 7c | 7,100$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Penguins | 57c | 6,666$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Predators | 44c | 6,554$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.76 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Predators | 43c | 6,389$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.3 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Predators | 46c | 6,333$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Predators | 43c | 6,057$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Predators | 45c | 5,482$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.58 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Predators | 43c | 5,280$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Predators | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Predators | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Predators | 41c | 4,400$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.01 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Predators | 37c | 4,202$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.99 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Predators | 44c | 4,105$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.52 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Penguins | 56c | 4,100$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Predators | 42c | 4,048$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked Predators | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Predators | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Predators | 42c | 3,603$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Predators | 44c | 3,502$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Predators | 44c | 3,250$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Penguins | 53c | 3,091$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.69 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Predators | 7c | 3,072$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Predators | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Predators | 43c | 2,792$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.36 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Predators | 44c | 2,760$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.4 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Predators | 42c | 2,732$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.89 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Predators | 45c | 2,625$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.12 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Predators | 42c | 2,545$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Predators | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Predators | 0c | 2,363$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 52c | 2,352$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.96 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 54c | 2,274$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.99 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Predators | 44c | 2,158$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.22 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Predators | 43c | 2,064$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…105bbacked Predators | 41c | 2,018$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Predators | 43c | 2,000$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Penguins | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Predators | 42c | 1,725$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…d919backed Predators | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…e1e5backed Penguins | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…b218backed Penguins | 57c | 1,684$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…d10dbacked Predators | 44c | 1,660$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Penguins | 51c | 1,591$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.81 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Predators | 42c | 1,590$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.54 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Predators | 49c | 1,564$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.13 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Predators | 1c | 1,549$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Predators | 42c | 1,546$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Predators | 43c | 1,471$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Penguins | 59c | 1,440$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.81 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Predators | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Predators | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Predators | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Predators | 45c | 1,180$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Penguins | 57c | 1,174$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Predators | 43c | 1,166$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Predators | 47c | 1,044$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.68 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Predators | 43c | 1,041$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.26 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Predators | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.08 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Predators | 44c | 1,007$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.17 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Predators | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…b853backed Predators | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Predators | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Predators | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…dc26backed Predators | 8c | 999.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Penguinsthis page
- Predators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.