NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dac3d0ff5a61fae96e8208c189bc48f7d39058e77aea852920ca789e072eb62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Lakers, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 629 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Lakers | 56c | 27,981$15,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,734.48 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Hawks | 77c | 26,410$20,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.51 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 79c | 25,502$20,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300.93 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Lakers | 37c | 23,279$8,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,641.61 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Hawks | 60c | 20,188$12,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.46 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Lakers | 14c | 13,463$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.18 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…3ff7backed Hawks | 62c | 13,022$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 38c | 12,695$4,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.77 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…4688backed Hawks | 32c | 9,078$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hawks | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Hawks | 50c | 6,024$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Lakers | 42c | 5,498$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.2 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Hawks | 77c | 5,065$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Hawks | 62c | 4,938$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.46 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Lakers | 39c | 4,854$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.92 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Lakers | 39c | 4,587$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Hawks | 64c | 4,533$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.76 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0510backed Lakers | 68c | 4,338$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Lakers | 36c | 4,175$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Hawks | 64c | 3,299$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Lakers | 42c | 3,124$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…9066backed Lakers | 64c | 3,088$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 54c | 2,996$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 37c | 2,939$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.53 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Hawks | 57c | 2,928$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.4 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 33c | 2,740$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.33 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers | 34c | 2,670$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.64 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Hawks | 65c | 2,669$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.82 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Hawks | 61c | 2,546$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.99 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed Hawks | 58c | 2,515$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 42c | 2,395$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Hawks | 55c | 2,381$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Hawks | 62c | 2,351$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.33 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks | 58c | 2,210$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.5 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Hawks | 65c | 2,166$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.18 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Hawks | 65c | 2,013$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.68 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers | 36c | 2,005$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.41 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…a976backed Lakers | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…5076backed Lakers | 34c | 1,995$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Hawks | 45c | 1,916$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.45 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…75e2backed Hawks | 66c | 1,912$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Hawks | 52c | 1,901$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.88 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Lakers | 1c | 1,857$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…17e1backed Hawks | 65c | 1,856$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Lakers | 64c | 1,721$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.9 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Lakers | 37c | 1,682$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.72 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…29bfbacked Lakers | 64c | 1,606$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…3e65backed Hawks | 66c | 1,600$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Hawks | 30c | 1,576$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…7772backed Lakers | 35c | 1,394$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 34c | 1,385$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.65 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Lakers | 65c | 1,359$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.64 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Hawks | 61c | 1,340$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.18 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Lakers | 47c | 1,314$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.72 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Lakers | 54c | 1,286$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb09…4e3bbacked Hawks | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…0dc0backed Lakers | 35c | 1,174$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Hawks | 59c | 1,137$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 38c | 1,126$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks | 28c | 1,122$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.2 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Hawks | 65c | 1,083$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.09 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…df7cbacked Hawks | 64c | 1,051$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Lakers | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Hawks | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Lakers | 36c | 999.94$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Hawks | 47c | 953.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks | 56c | 891.02$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.08 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Hawks | 62c | 857.5$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.85 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Hawks | 66c | 857.2$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…65bbbacked Lakers | 35c | 857.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Hawks | 66c | 800$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Hawks | 65c | 797$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 32c | 779.43$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lakers | 39c | 755.2$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3f…9a8fbacked Lakers | 35c | 700.17$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5097…08abbacked Hawks | 50c | 699.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Hawks | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7ba4backed Hawks | 65c | 698$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…3c41backed Hawks | 64c | 694.91$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…976fbacked Lakers | 34c | 686.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Lakers | 44c | 668.6$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 47c | 630.2$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 58c | 629.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…3bfcbacked Lakers | 72c | 628.86$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Hawks | 65c | 626.54$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Hawks | 67c | 605.3$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Hawks | 30c | 599.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db4…487abacked Hawks | 54c | 587.43$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 50c | 582.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.88 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Hawks | 63c | 552.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks | 43c | 527.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.85 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Hawks | 64c | 525$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Lakers | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 49c | 506.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.57 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Hawks | 64c | 500.03$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Lakers | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Hawks | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.