TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4673…d99bbacked Wild54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9831849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Golden Knights47c1,904$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.6235545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights46c1,689$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.9872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e3…da40backed Wild53c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7421250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Golden Knights46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54019150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Wild54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild54c1,000$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.3285148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Golden Knights47c919.66$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.421855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Golden Knights46c808.77$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4371776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Wild53c702.16$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.45534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights47c621.45$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.941,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wild53c599.97$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Golden Knights54c594.87$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Golden Knights53c500.37$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.375149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Golden Knights50c500$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24872448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d03…8222backed Golden Knights50c477.79$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights45c420.23$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild50c364.55$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.961,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Golden Knights70c330$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Wild57c304.05$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.116149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee90…6a03backed Golden Knights49c277.24$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild19c272.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wild7c271.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.397450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ec…4279backed Wild52c259.35$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Golden Knights46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Wild50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…d389backed Wild23c191.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Wild53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf51…2037backed Wild54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Wild30c169.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9713655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Golden Knights45c157.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3311445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Golden Knights60c145.2$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6914949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Wild57c140.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild32c129.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.591,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild52c124.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1738040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700c…9bd9backed Golden Knights49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Golden Knights50c100.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.55347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Wild54c100.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Golden Knights49c100.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.671060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Golden Knights49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights46c99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Golden Knights52c97.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.820540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Wild52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…2752backed Golden Knights53c91.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.812352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Golden Knights46c88.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9723144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wild51c69.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Golden Knights74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571580%12 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16e…5220backed Wild53c55.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeee…c5c4backed Golden Knights49c55.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa8…8f99backed Wild30c55.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4647…5bd9backed Golden Knights45c53.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd64…76a8backed Wild53c51.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c88…6871backed Golden Knights49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.024047.5%19 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0d4…a164backed Wild30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Wild26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Golden Knights53c49.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.467338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Wild53c49.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.432958.6%17 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Wild53c49.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.34526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4dde…91b2backed Wild53c46.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.391275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0778…56bcbacked Wild52c45.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Wild55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253961.5%24 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7624457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb8…c07abacked Wild43c42.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Wild55c42.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.152360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d2…30cbbacked Golden Knights45c41.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Golden Knights53c40.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.142259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Wild49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Wild52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x07f5…f3d4backed Wild52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef4d…ed0ebacked Golden Knights45c38.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a2…9a47backed Wild52c38.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff6…b5dfbacked Golden Knights54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Wild55c36.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd9…4c31backed Wild55c36.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf0…23c5backed Golden Knights46c35.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c4…f21fbacked Golden Knights53c35.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abc…07b0backed Golden Knights46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5434…1e01backed Wild53c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3418…187fbacked Golden Knights45c31.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81cb…2041backed Golden Knights45c30.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7468…1299backed Wild55c28.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf92…d080backed Wild52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc222…5e83backed Golden Knights48c28.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9e…0865backed Wild55c28.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda29…789abacked Wild55c27.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c4…8416backed Golden Knights48c27.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd75…8cfebacked Wild52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91c3…c4c2backed Wild54c26.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670f…bf98backed Golden Knights46c26.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f3…310ebacked Golden Knights46c26.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f57…68b5backed Golden Knights57c25.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5c…c237backed Wild53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb6…98fabacked Golden Knights47c23.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Golden Knights47c22.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0689…2996backed Golden Knights48c22.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Golden Knights74c21.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.623865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd56a…75d1backed Wild55c21.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.