TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c88…6871

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT5669.6%39 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.59
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.37
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$40.07
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$13.96
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+43.1%+$12.92
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.45
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14.29
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT4047.5%19 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$14.47
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.86
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$80
Will Brighton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+112.8%+$28.98
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$133.21
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$220
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+33.2%+$33.22
Will Bournemouth vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+29.9%+$23.9
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$92.1
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+35.8%+$35.77
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+108.3%+$153.83
Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$80
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+29.9%+$23.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.68
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$29.73
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+400%+$63.56
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 6-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$18.96
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 6-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$47.54
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+151.3%+$151.28
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+47.3%+$73.57
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.97
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+61.3%+$15.32
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$8.74
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. La Salle Explorersbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$506.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya 3: Panna Udvardy vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.