TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Golden Knights, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 743 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Wild41c14,830$6,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,753.8210745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights59c10,484$6,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,135.811,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f9…417bbacked Golden Knights58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,800.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b4…a5ebbacked Golden Knights58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1c…0ccfbacked Golden Knights58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f15…2ffdbacked Golden Knights58c9,996$5,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,797.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b41…2521backed Wild42c9,993$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203c…24b4backed Wild42c9,993$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,795.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ab…008cbacked Wild42c9,993$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,795.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca4…db1dbacked Wild42c9,993$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,795.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild40c5,770$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,454.1336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Golden Knights59c5,500$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Wild80c4,980$3,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Golden Knights59c4,242$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.785164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Golden Knights59c4,125$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.6531546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Wild41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.9216645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild46c3,229$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.9727958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Wild42c3,102$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.3864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Golden Knights49c3,084$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Golden Knights20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Wild41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.957352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights34c2,861$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.183,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wild77c2,633$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.558350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Golden Knights59c2,517$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.27361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Golden Knights59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Wild41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights58c2,493$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.91,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights59c2,487$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.4549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb63d…9dd6backed Wild41c2,478$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.021782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Wild42c2,372$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.4615261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Wild41c2,197$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.161485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights59c2,117$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.831,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f93…39a1backed Golden Knights58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Golden Knights21c1,991$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.126642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights59c1,944$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.7617448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild41c1,871$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.1186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights57c1,563$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.7997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wild42c1,505$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.924546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild71c1,372$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.9885464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Golden Knights58c1,292$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.238749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Wild43c1,173$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Golden Knights59c1,149$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.164841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights39c1,130$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Wild76c1,014$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.413348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Golden Knights59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59010739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild43c1,000$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Golden Knights60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Wild41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5907549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild56c943.62$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.491,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights59c929.91$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.659942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Golden Knights59c862.71$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50928152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights57c854.86$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2772847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a8…4673backed Wild60c667.49$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.495100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights58c610.61$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2324…6992backed Wild42c602.38$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Golden Knights58c600$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a2…a5fbbacked Golden Knights59c528.81$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Wild41c500.93$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9315246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…773abacked Golden Knights59c471.19$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Golden Knights53c435.61$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8123761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Golden Knights59c424.98$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23612955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Golden Knights59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2364650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a04…0edebacked Wild42c397.62$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights6c393.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights43c349.5$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7828842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Wild41c340$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Golden Knights59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Golden Knights60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-82.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights58c312.85$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4529748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Golden Knights59c300.1$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.069251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff59…afeabacked Wild42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Golden Knights34c268.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.676764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb787…1cc6backed Golden Knights60c251.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc2…32eebacked Wild41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.52544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Wild41c250$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.56850%34 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59de…010cbacked Wild41c243.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.84560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Golden Knights59c240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.68932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fd…cfddbacked Golden Knights8c234.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c1…c3bcbacked Wild41c229.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Golden Knights45c222.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.628959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecd…73fabacked Golden Knights59c220.34$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Wild42c220$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9f…8483backed Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21cf…a38ebacked Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1184647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x386c…bc0dbacked Golden Knights59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182055%11 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbe…fbe3backed Golden Knights59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182548%12 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf129…ed65backed Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0669…8717backed Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa444…c492backed Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182055%11 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaef2…95adbacked Golden Knights59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1184341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…9abcbacked Golden Knights59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1379backed Wild41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.