TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Diamondbacks, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe785…e106backed Diamondbacks58c82,658$47,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,937.684854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks59c34,133$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks62c27,488$16,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,907.4160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies46c27,224$12,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,786.511,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Diamondbacks60c24,872$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Rockies42c23,800$9,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,801.6722852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies46c23,399$10,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,744.3654345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockies42c23,000$9,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,34055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies42c22,442$9,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,016.381,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rockies42c21,909$9,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,697.6238949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4f…52febacked Diamondbacks0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Rockies38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,40035952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks58c19,529$11,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,327.0256451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks67c13,921$9,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,295.7233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies36c12,888$4,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,224.682,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies37c9,017$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.419,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies42c5,366$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.732,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies46c5,342$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.9438444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Rockies42c5,010$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.791747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Rockies43c3,850$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.6111553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies42c3,800$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2041,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Diamondbacks58c3,788$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.042650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks57c3,268$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.211,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Rockies48c2,719$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.38042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks40c2,676$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Rockies42c2,100$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2181850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies43c2,041$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.711,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies60c2,010$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.343946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Diamondbacks58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1607147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Diamondbacks59c1,900$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.997324.7%18 W · 55 L-9.8wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks5c1,690$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.541747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Rockies68c1,640$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.788366.3%55 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks57c1,630$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies32c1,579$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.081,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Diamondbacks76c1,517$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1556960.9%42 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies19c1,394$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.1295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ab…1ba3backed Diamondbacks16c1,394$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Diamondbacks58c1,159$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.511449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Diamondbacks58c1,100$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Rockies42c1,095$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.8514949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks32c1,041$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.276,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c57…9c22backed Diamondbacks58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Diamondbacks58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Rockies69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.326845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies43c999.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Diamondbacks62c973.07$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60037857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Diamondbacks57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rockies45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.526650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks47c794$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.971,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies43c764$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.4824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks51c725.06$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies35c689.07$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies42c667$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.8673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Rockies43c665.02$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.024055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks57c611.37$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7934051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3481,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58fd…0e7ebacked Diamondbacks58c517.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+76.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks58c517$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.861,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies43c513$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4144443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d04…7102backed Rockies44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rockies49c486.38$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies43c449.15$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0251347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockies69c420.29$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2925551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rockies49c408.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2511051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Diamondbacks25c379.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9513852.2%72 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies56c367.14$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Rockies29c358.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7832754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks57c348.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Diamondbacks35c342.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Rockies28c336.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6960052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks59c312.87$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Rockies42c298.64$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2119449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Diamondbacks36c280.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Diamondbacks58c255$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.924253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks59c242.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14328447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51a1…1467backed Rockies27c235.94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.847328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Rockies77c224.06$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.610459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Diamondbacks57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rockies14c200$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17145732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…4ef4backed Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1168051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7752…490bbacked Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…88e6backed Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e48…c9cabacked Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbf…f78fbacked Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165139.2%20 W · 31 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6caa…d782backed Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea21…9033backed Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfa…2fa8backed Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc81…40c9backed Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…a9efbacked Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6f…a521backed Rockies42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab77…cd04backed Diamondbacks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.