NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d632f6741da2de7091bf33b82164a2d15fa2284646f4f2d2455ccaee0191c30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Avalanche, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 795 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Avalanche | 56c | 43,111$24,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,017.68 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 40,352$22,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,597.14 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Stars | 44c | 20,564$9,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,515.86 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Stars | 44c | 14,887$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,287.88 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Stars | 53c | 12,584$6,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.97 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 74c | 11,730$8,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.48 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Avalanche | 22c | 11,433$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 44c | 11,000$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,190.57 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Stars | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…9ba7backed Avalanche | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…ed07backed Stars | 43c | 9,991$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 44c | 8,333$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.11 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 43c | 8,060$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.92 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Stars | 58c | 7,520$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.07 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Stars | 45c | 7,194$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.52 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 44c | 7,016$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.29 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Avalanche | 58c | 5,846$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 71c | 5,812$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.4 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Avalanche | 56c | 5,808$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Avalanche | 57c | 5,033$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Stars | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.96 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 44c | 4,457$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.53 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Stars | 43c | 4,425$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.06 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Stars | 43c | 4,302$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.67 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 51c | 4,272$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.2 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,883$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Stars | 44c | 2,841$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Stars | 43c | 2,819$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.6 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Stars | 53c | 2,780$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.38 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Stars | 42c | 2,481$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.86 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 44c | 2,392$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.25 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche | 55c | 2,250$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.49 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Stars | 57c | 2,143$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.48 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Avalanche | 45c | 2,022$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Stars | 47c | 2,005$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.57 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Stars | 54c | 1,880$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.72 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,815$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…8805backed Stars | 43c | 1,703$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0c32backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed Stars | 43c | 1,475$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Stars | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars | 43c | 1,132$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.51 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars | 42c | 1,126$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.52 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Stars | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Avalanche | 8c | 1,093$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Stars | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche | 14c | 970.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Avalanche | 6c | 969.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Stars | 44c | 967$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.39 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 43c | 953.66$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.59 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…b66ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 883.49$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.59 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Avalanche | 3c | 799$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…4e88backed Avalanche | 57c | 736.84$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Avalanche | 5c | 684.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Stars | 44c | 644.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…1ea9backed Stars | 44c | 640.91$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Avalanche | 38c | 627.72$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.43 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…7d43backed Avalanche | 57c | 607.3$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Avalanche | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…bcb9backed Avalanche | 58c | 588.6$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Stars | 43c | 580$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 78c | 569.91$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 43c | 554.68$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.94 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…51e9backed Avalanche | 44c | 509.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche | 56c | 492$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e498backed Avalanche | 24c | 457.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche | 44c | 450.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…674dbacked Stars | 77c | 434$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Avalanche | 58c | 422.34$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…9d71backed Stars | 43c | 416.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Avalanche | 24c | 412.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Avalanche | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…48afbacked Avalanche | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Avalanche | 5c | 399$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Avalanche | 57c | 385.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…380bbacked Stars | 45c | 368.8$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…b9a6backed Stars | 44c | 359.09$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Stars | 44c | 348.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.26 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Stars | 45c | 323.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche | 15c | 313.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Stars | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Stars | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Stars | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Stars | 59c | 291.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Stars | 44c | 276$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Stars | 43c | 272.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…b2b2backed Stars | 44c | 263.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac84…5ac7backed Avalanche | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…8dc7backed Avalanche | 57c | 261.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Stars | 42c | 259.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Stars | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…f46dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.