NFL · resolved market

Ravens vs. Chiefs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84414bb974f9f7a1ce7d4f70c293ae5aed95b54224447d11d48fb46712808fc

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Chiefsof Ravens, Chiefs
Resolved: Sep 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,277,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,840,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,277,896 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Ravens	58c	1,417,177$822,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822,262.49	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Chiefs	42c	374,898$157,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217,196.12	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Chiefs	42c	325,903$136,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188,964.91	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…0aacbacked Chiefs	42c	252,787$106,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146,616.45	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+34%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Chiefs	42c	210,846$88,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122,082.47	229	50.2%115 W · 114 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Chiefs	43c	162,628$69,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92,697.91	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+5.5wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Chiefs	42c	105,000$44,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,900	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Chiefs	42c	102,500$43,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,450	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Chiefs	43c	95,047$40,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,176.51	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Chiefs	44c	82,133$36,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,701.98	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Ravens	57c	79,455$45,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,289.3	174	54.6%95 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a7…e661backed Ravens	58c	75,812$43,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,781.53	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Chiefs	44c	59,091$26,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,090.91	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Chiefs	79c	52,198$41,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,833.11	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chiefs	63c	44,924$28,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,681.67	206	34.5%71 W · 135 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Chiefs	42c	40,411$16,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,438.33	418	51.9%217 W · 201 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Chiefs	42c	40,000$16,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,199.84	246	52%128 W · 118 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Chiefs	42c	35,000$14,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,300	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x702b…d274backed Chiefs	70c	32,053$22,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,594.17	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+59.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Ravens	57c	31,596$18,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,023.55	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae1…c13ebacked Ravens	0c	22,200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Chiefs	39c	21,107$8,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,825.9	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Ravens	57c	20,954$11,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,943.64	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Chiefs	42c	20,000$8,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,549.98	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ravens	33c	19,670$6,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,529.65	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Ravens	58c	19,000$11,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,020	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Chiefs	41c	17,476$7,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,261.74	611	48.6%297 W · 314 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ravens	16c	17,195$2,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,779.9	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Ravens	57c	16,646$9,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,488.22	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Ravens	58c	15,714$9,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,149.99	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-5.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Chiefs	42c	15,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,700	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Chiefs	41c	15,000$6,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,849.99	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Chiefs	42c	12,891$5,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,476.68	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ravens	64c	12,836$8,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,174.59	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Ravens	22c	12,731$2,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760.82	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Chiefs	43c	10,500$4,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,985	128	43.8%56 W · 72 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Ravens	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b1…0f83backed Chiefs	43c	9,302$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,302.33	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fbf…3155backed Ravens	21c	9,242$1,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,895	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Chiefs	77c	7,922$6,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,842.3	276	44.2%122 W · 154 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Chiefs	43c	7,910$3,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,508.7	293	56%164 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Chiefs	43c	7,444$3,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,243.08	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	41cpaid	+79.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Ravens	57c	7,190$4,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,098.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Chiefs	43c	7,000$3,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,990	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Ravens	57c	6,959$3,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,966.87	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d75…74a5backed Ravens	58c	6,944$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Chiefs	42c	6,915$2,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,019.38	224	50%112 W · 112 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Chiefs	43c	6,800$2,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,876	181	56.9%103 W · 78 L	+11.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Ravens	58c	6,734$3,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,906	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb511…dedfbacked Ravens	42c	6,320$2,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,651.63	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Chiefs	40c	6,206$2,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,741.33	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Ravens	43c	6,149$2,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,656.72	419	47.3%198 W · 221 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Chiefs	42c	6,111$2,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,534.51	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Ravens	58c	6,000$3,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,459.99	147	57.1%84 W · 63 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ravens	34c	5,938$2,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,014.2	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ravens	59c	5,732$3,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,399.31	273	48.7%133 W · 140 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Chiefs	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,950	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Chiefs	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Ravens	58c	5,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Chiefs	43c	4,651$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,651.16	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Chiefs	38c	4,500$1,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,769.99	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Chiefs	68c	4,329$2,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400.6	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Ravens	36c	4,012$1,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.86	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Ravens	59c	4,000$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Chiefs	42c	3,909$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,258.69	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Chiefs	51c	3,780$1,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,852.39	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Chiefs	42c	3,739$1,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,168.84	247	38.1%94 W · 153 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Chiefs	42c	3,500$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,029.99	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Ravens	57c	3,500$1,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.99	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Ravens	74c	3,399$2,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,504.18	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+12.6wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Chiefs	43c	3,388$1,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,931.16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Chiefs	41c	3,258$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,922.43	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ravens	57c	3,236$1,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,844.61	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Ravens	1c	3,078$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	112	8%9 W · 103 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+413.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Ravens	24c	2,996$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.61	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Ravens	67c	2,797$1,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,873.97	143	49%70 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Ravens	17c	2,755$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eec…3e48backed Ravens	7c	2,714$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.08	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Ravens	1c	2,570$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Ravens	58c	2,500$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Ravens	57c	2,377$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.9	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Chiefs	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.58	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chiefs	64c	2,301$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.17	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Ravens	22c	2,273$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Ravens	57c	2,200$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.96	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Chiefs	41c	2,173$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.67	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Ravens	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	149	26.2%39 W · 110 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Ravens	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Chiefs	44c	2,000$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Chiefs	44c	2,000$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Ravens	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Chiefs	42c	2,000$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.99	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Chiefs	42c	1,985$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.29	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Chiefs	42c	1,795$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.68	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ea…bf18backed Chiefs	42c	1,780$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,032.13	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6540…d055backed Ravens	58c	1,777$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.66	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Ravens	58c	1,776$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1699…7644backed Ravens	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x36f1…1617backed Ravens	59c	1,702$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-40%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Chiefs	44c	1,700$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ravens vs. Chiefs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event