MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3afbcfd238448659532cc2d780bf0772c5d422707ee00e0c75f3ab2b4a5becbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Nationals, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $529,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 37c | 355,323$131,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,469.34 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Braves | 63c | 110,555$69,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,905.35 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Braves | 63c | 63,000$39,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,030 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 63c | 45,000$28,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,650 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves | 63c | 27,303$17,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,102.11 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Braves | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 38c | 20,584$7,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,918.53 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Nationals | 36c | 16,569$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,964.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves | 63c | 14,666$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.42 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nationals | 36c | 14,659$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.24 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Braves | 63c | 14,000$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Braves | 64c | 11,177$7,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Braves | 65c | 9,268$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.54 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 40c | 9,071$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.75 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 46c | 7,132$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 56c | 6,992$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.84 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 64c | 6,485$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Braves | 63c | 5,555$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.35 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 36c | 4,375$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.98 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 63c | 4,341$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Braves | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Braves | 66c | 3,465$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.9 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Braves | 64c | 3,109$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.38 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Braves | 63c | 2,844$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 61c | 2,583$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 40c | 2,542$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.77 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Braves | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 36c | 2,468$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.35 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 36c | 2,392$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.16 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Braves | 64c | 2,083$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.81 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Nationals | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Braves | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 35c | 1,847$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 62c | 1,845$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.96 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,791$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.37 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Nationals | 36c | 1,711$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.95 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 53c | 1,708$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.71 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Braves | 63c | 1,522$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.14 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nationals | 30c | 1,522$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.51 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 36c | 1,449$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.64 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Nationals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 23c | 972.3$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Nationals | 3c | 889$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 49c | 825.88$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Nationals | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 63c | 795.17$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.62 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 35c | 760.97$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.34 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 69c | 726.4$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.28 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 37c | 599.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 35c | 594.62$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 35c | 587.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Nationals | 49c | 548.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 63c | 456.76$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Braves | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Nationals | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 45c | 378.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.47 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 37c | 373.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Braves | 60c | 366.76$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Braves | 64c | 340$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Braves | 64c | 337.56$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Nationals | 37c | 335.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Nationals | 52c | 321.05$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 33c | 317.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 63c | 307.3$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves | 63c | 307.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Braves | 47c | 303.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Braves | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Braves | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Nationals | 35c | 248.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 36c | 204.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Braves | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Braves | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Braves | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Braves | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Braves | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Braves | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.