TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Kings, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Kings38c44,095$16,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,756.278749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Oilers62c32,450$20,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,330.944763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Kings2c18,253$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.122733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f36…6c86backed Oilers60c9,998$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd246…1c41backed Kings40c9,998$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers77c5,979$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.711,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Oilers62c5,200$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.3611441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings0c5,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Oilers59c4,397$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.784463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings39c4,195$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.2416645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers61c3,613$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.8827958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Oilers60c3,521$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.381540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Kings40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Kings9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings38c3,223$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.781,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings39c2,426$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.1372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7988…9619backed Kings39c2,067$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.132334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Kings2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Oilers61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers60c1,841$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.5439752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a1…303bbacked Oilers62c1,689$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.941471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Oilers61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3415261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Kings41c1,600$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings39c1,556$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.761,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Oilers61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5857549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers66c1,437$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.321,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78d…e8cbbacked Kings3c1,113$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Kings39c1,065$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.4220649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1882…ba8bbacked Oilers61c1,062$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Kings39c1,037$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers72c1,023$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Kings39c965.65$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.629748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Oilers61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.676946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe66f…bfb8backed Kings40c815$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Oilers62c808$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0442751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5050…9a6fbacked Oilers61c766.06$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings2c730.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings15c722.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers61c708.34$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Kings6c700$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers60c653.98$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings39c650$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.531849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d9…ef84backed Kings2c643.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Oilers79c614.41$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings21c600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa483…c2b6backed Kings39c599.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers61c569$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9125555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Oilers55c547.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.458047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Oilers80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Oilers74c497.65$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.915966.1%39 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Oilers61c496$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa08d…4ddbbacked Kings39c475$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings47c472.34$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22223761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Kings39c471.91$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.056850%34 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfae…30a3backed Kings39c450$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29dc…bf90backed Oilers61c414.95$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.831233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4aa…9026backed Kings37c389.09$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.282623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60d1…1477backed Kings44c380.97$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kings35c378.09$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings39c372.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1737738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Kings41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-82.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Oilers62c350$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1334100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Kings42c335$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.676764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers59c332.35$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4b…fcd5backed Oilers62c320.79$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Kings10c309.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcac…d069backed Kings39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11760%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Kings39c299.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.963339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings4c268.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.941895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Kings39c261.54$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10248050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Oilers61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.912556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Oilers45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228741.4%36 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a3…5249backed Oilers60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Oilers61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7829949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104a…3824backed Oilers62c193.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Oilers73c193.18$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.238052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47a…5879backed Kings18c178.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Kings9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb33…6da4backed Oilers61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Oilers61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9324749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd311…82d5backed Oilers61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-67.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Oilers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2925358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd392…e400backed Oilers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Oilers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4523…581abacked Oilers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Kings25c159.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8418237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings41c155.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.542,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Oilers57c155.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.654856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…e998backed Kings40c133.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f7b…7217backed Kings39c131.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.461631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3b2…6ec0backed Oilers61c131.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…98c1backed Kings40c129.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4b…d9edbacked Kings39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Kings32c127.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3438744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b21…6199backed Oilers61c127.05$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.551250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a2…ecc9backed Kings39c126.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Oilers77c122.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2611057.3%63 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.