TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,583,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,583,220 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 881 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings58c451,757$262,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,019.0667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Panthers42c288,177$120,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,619.3256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Panthers42c169,728$71,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,441.9615054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings58c100,000$58,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,999.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Panthers42c70,000$29,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,60036748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Panthers42c63,890$26,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,056.171464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Panthers42c43,926$18,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,476.9519848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings58c26,602$15,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,558.971,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Red Wings59c26,014$15,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,314.5143456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers42c25,406$10,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,741.3361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Red Wings55c22,007$12,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,082.3341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers41c21,003$8,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,391.6847951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings58c20,856$12,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,091.611,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Panthers41c18,888$7,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,143.9221850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Panthers42c18,090$7,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,461.284546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers39c14,739$5,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,059.972,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Panthers41c14,196$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,375.71,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Red Wings58c13,500$7,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,829.916656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Panthers42c12,736$5,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,386.6640351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Panthers41c12,500$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,37532946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers43c12,382$5,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,057.7479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Panthers42c10,482$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,079.3448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Panthers43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70061953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Red Wings58c9,491$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.7838844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Red Wings59c9,040$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.425945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Red Wings58c9,000$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2201637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Red Wings59c8,696$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.0886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Red Wings40c7,670$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.5212838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Panthers41c7,500$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,424.9650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Panthers41c7,486$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.478450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers52c6,766$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Panthers44c6,521$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.939344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings55c6,444$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.911,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Panthers41c6,074$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.6615949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Red Wings58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4804949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed Panthers1c6,000$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,920250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+3,650%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Panthers1c6,000$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9201100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+7,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Red Wings59c5,932$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings59c5,932$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings58c5,855$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Red Wings59c5,634$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,32432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers41c5,500$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Panthers38c5,406$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.3921856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x159b…6cddbacked Red Wings60c5,400$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1fc…0de5backed Panthers40c5,400$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Red Wings59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Panthers41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.8229146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers41c4,500$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.3760249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Panthers63c4,418$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.6862951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Red Wings45c4,322$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.97258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Panthers40c4,045$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.062748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings59c4,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Red Wings57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.8839752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers41c3,841$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.261,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers52c3,814$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.153,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers39c3,800$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.9999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Panthers23c3,720$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.721555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Panthers42c3,571$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.4413446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Panthers1c3,500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455450%2 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+2,344.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Panthers43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.3740356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f7d2backed Panthers2c3,450$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+1,972.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Red Wings59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Panthers35c3,340$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.451,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers55c3,235$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.941,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Panthers1c3,100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+1,341.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Panthers1c3,100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+2,303.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Panthers41c3,100$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Panthers42c3,090$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.233151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Red Wings58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Panthers2c3,000$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+971.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Panthers41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Panthers42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.9843548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Panthers39c2,835$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.3743742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Panthers47c2,765$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.8828340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ffa…cc36backed Panthers2c2,760$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.61100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+6,116.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Panthers11c2,611$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.792638.5%10 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+228.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Red Wings58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Red Wings58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Red Wings58c2,481$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4504553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Panthers1c2,400$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+971.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Panthers42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.1931550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings58c2,351$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.692,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Panthers64c2,326$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.819258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers42c2,264$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.2289547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ae…a7b9backed Red Wings43c2,164$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Panthers48c2,146$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.951,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers57c2,108$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.041,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings56c2,037$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.541,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Panthers41c2,000$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.1445749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Panthers3c2,000$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+123.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings57c1,789$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…80a7backed Red Wings57c1,760$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Panthers40c1,733$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Red Wings58c1,718$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.3729448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Panthers41c1,711$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.3453050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Panthers41c1,710$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.8844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da7…b179backed Red Wings59c1,701$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf9…337ebacked Panthers42c1,701$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.