TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$810,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,934 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under44c501,228$222,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278,350.0820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over57c200,000$114,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,00039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c173,168$96,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,235.531,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over56c51,264$28,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,451.6740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over56c19,450$10,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,922.8543456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under45c19,357$8,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,646.35050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over56c10,007$5,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,607.612,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9810451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over57c7,516$4,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.6986852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over56c7,143$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over57c5,555$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.137949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over55c5,313$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.9221555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over56c5,036$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.0221856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c4,400$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.8162951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1602142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over56c3,591$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over55c3,536$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.9910146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over56c3,205$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.3591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over55c3,091$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6508845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over55c2,900$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.2129146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over56c1,339$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over56c1,195$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.226551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under43c1,111$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3191945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over55c1,106$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under43c1,069$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.3436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over55c962.9$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.311,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over55c942.68$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4762346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over56c937$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.7283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over56c894.68$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0211855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Over56c714.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c546.21$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.42,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over56c445$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.23545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c444.41$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.663,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Over55c423.57$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.963964.1%25 W · 14 L+9.5wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+54.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over56c417.33$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.754946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under46c386.6$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.712055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Under54c377.42$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.493661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over56c375$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under44c371.25$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b1…0666backed Under45c331.32$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.891070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under46c256.07$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.283053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under72c249.4$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.996453.1%34 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd285…ab07backed Over55c246.37$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe755…644ebacked Under46c237.19$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Under45c230$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.572448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under46c215.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.462347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under46c214.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2535829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over19c211.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.332,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over21c187$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2717247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca56…14b9backed Under46c175.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Under59c168.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.833040%12 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2d9…086abacked Over55c166.15$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over24c165.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.021,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.659950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over56c158$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over23c151.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe311…b94cbacked Under74c135.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7056553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over44c126.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.954156.1%23 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under45c120.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.047664.5%49 W · 27 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under45c117.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8139751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under44c113.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6211650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over55c109.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.520447.1%96 W · 108 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over34c108.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…8a3bbacked Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018746.5%87 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over40c98.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.462,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Under44c87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.723452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2952…382fbacked Over30c84.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under46c79.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.792751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…c8b2backed Over52c78.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under45c78.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.164445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under45c77.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2214853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under45c76.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.857548%36 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under46c73.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.674858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over25c62.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0111248.2%54 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3538551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2927…05fcbacked Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d69…01aebacked Under44c56.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.341030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Under46c54.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.515054%81 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over38c49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6722759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over56c48.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under71c48.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.171,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Over56c48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.883852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over31c47.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.518547.6%88 W · 97 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Under44c46.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8214351.7%74 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa20…e7e3backed Over45c44.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.426842.6%29 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.