Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef3c1e6e027005f2254823c89d7d0274a5970b34f60d048646db51436be27706

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 14, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,480 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No	69c	13,007$8,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,068.02	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67fe…fea5backed Yes	36c	11,466$4,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,115.88	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes	38c	5,177$1,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,957.54	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	63c	5,082$3,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,866.71	406	40.9%166 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Yes	73c	3,191$2,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,329.67	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-4.3wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No	17c	3,173$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,633.49	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+15.6wins	+0.20per pick	20cpaid	+437.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	62c	3,098$1,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,177.16	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes	27c	3,074$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.95	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa6…21cdbacked Yes	36c	2,912$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No	65c	2,833$1,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.55	245	66.1%162 W · 83 L	+24.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No	61c	2,510$1,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.69	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No	25c	2,095$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,570.32	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed Yes	35c	1,727$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.38	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	59cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	68c	1,655$1,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.15	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked No	67c	1,558$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.8	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	65c	1,500$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	22c	1,208$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	35c	1,200$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	64c	899.97$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.99	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	75c	866.6$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.64	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes	26c	800$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	119	37%44 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes	60c	738.12$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.35	253	39.1%99 W · 154 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	13c	686.26$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.04	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes	73c	685.07$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes	39c	685$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.15	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+8.1wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No	66c	674.89$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.46	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes	38c	657.89$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed No	23c	438.12$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.35	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+6.4wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf6f4…7343backed Yes	35c	425.65$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes	36c	416.67$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes	36c	375.5$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.18	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes	36c	350.33$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.12	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-14.7wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc92c…b909backed Yes	34c	309.45$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.34	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+89.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No	64c	302.42$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.87	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45cf…d389backed Yes	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+176.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12e…c40bbacked Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf6e…632fbacked Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	65%13 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-7.8wins	-0.16per pick	42cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed No	52c	221.98$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.55	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes	37c	202.7$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d4…83bbbacked Yes	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	155	54.8%85 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes	26c	193.88$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.41	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-79%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13f4…1c68backed Yes	23c	180.59$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+96.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes	35c	171.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	90	27.8%25 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	43c	148.66$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.57	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes	36c	133$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.88	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes	36c	111.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed No	64c	105$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.35	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-6.5wins	-0.20per pick	55cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8744…8f31backed Yes	30c	101.84$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf501…d663backed Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-70%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	182	32.4%59 W · 123 L	-15.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaed…5bb2backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cd…1402backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed No	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	63c	97.59$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5955…1efdbacked Yes	36c	97.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda49…20babacked No	65c	97.22$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.03	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes	34c	94.07$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.18	401	35.2%141 W · 260 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe480…a9a4backed Yes	35c	91.43$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes	36c	88.58$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c88…6871backed Yes	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x774f…ea29backed Yes	72c	79.57$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	36c	69.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f43…cbb0backed Yes	37c	65.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6186…32fcbacked No	64c	65.23$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+101.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	62c	65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No	62c	65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x217f…4ee5backed Yes	31c	64.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Yes	36c	60$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b9…8069backed No	72c	58.6$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.41	30	76.7%23 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	68cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	65c	58.09$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.33	129	65.1%84 W · 45 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes	36c	55.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c54…99a4backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.28per pick	51cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b96…8c3ebacked No	64c	52.1$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bac…c80dbacked No	67c	52.07$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.93	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cd…6d22backed Yes	49c	51.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	66cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee67…a563backed Yes	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-60%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed No	67c	49.57$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed No	64c	45.28$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.3	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Yes	74c	45$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	73c	43.93$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.07	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-12.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee92…f444backed Yes	71c	43.1$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.74	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6746…2093backed Yes	36c	42.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec15…86abbacked Yes	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ed05backed Yes	36c	41.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b1…857ebacked Yes	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe19…161dbacked Yes	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd728…4a03backed No	62c	37.91$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057e…1019backed Yes	37c	37.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb200…6070backed Yes	38c	37.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78dc…7b70backed No	63c	37.12$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.74	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+114.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed Yes	36c	37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?this page
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-14?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event