TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0cd…6d22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT6462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.82
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.99
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$32.09
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.46
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.07
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$11.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.44
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4663%29 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$19.9
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$26.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.66
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.92
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.96
Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.43
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$26.81
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Oklahoma City Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+30.6%+$6.56
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.64
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.19
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+49.2%+$16.15
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+27%+$4.51
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.11
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.76
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.98
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.78
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.47
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11.07
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$29.6
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+43.6%+$9.72
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+42.9%+$6
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$12.87
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$14.08
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$10.78
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+40.8%+$5.93
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.8
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$27.08
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$34.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$47.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$93.07
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-Inbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$8.48
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.95
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$14.76
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.46
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38.25
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$46.2
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+300%+$34.5
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+64.5%+$6.89
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$13.66
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$33.32
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$21.03
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 6-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$15.39
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 6-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.24
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.95
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.09
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+53.8%+$7.7
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+42.9%+$9
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+37%+$5.4
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+44.5%+$8.3
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+39.8%+$11.07
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+38.9%+$14.18
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$10.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.45
Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+31.6%+$5.71
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$24.97
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$21.33
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$13.05
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+49.2%+$5.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. CB Murciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.