Chess · resolved market
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24c030542977154fc05d58f038ee09bb82f795b02efabb501dbf3f7633d7aff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 29c | 31,005$9,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 71c | 26,000$18,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,479.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 70c | 7,201$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.16 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 31c | 6,357$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed No | 5c | 6,048$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770.54 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…c328backed Yes | 70c | 4,866$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 70c | 3,583$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 24c | 3,287$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 29c | 3,122$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 72c | 3,054$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,220$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,358$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…0caabacked Yes | 66c | 1,285$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 3c | 1,006$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.39 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 73c | 998.48$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…c5f5backed No | 29c | 827.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked No | 8c | 819.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…b609backed Yes | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…0bdbbacked No | 3c | 695.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +407.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 75c | 646.53$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…286ebacked No | 8c | 565.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +296.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 4c | 500.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.56 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 8c | 499.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e67…d472backed No | 4c | 483.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +387.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…97f1backed No | 29c | 450.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 6c | 423.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 32c | 406.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Yes | 72c | 348$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…94b4backed Yes | 79c | 326.75$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes | 69c | 315.95$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…cd73backed No | 13c | 315.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.69 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 313.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked No | 10c | 304.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.1 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed No | 29c | 299.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +237.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 72c | 283.38$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…602dbacked No | 28c | 270$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…d106backed Yes | 74c | 248.01$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…9a20backed Yes | 72c | 228.9$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 80c | 213.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +341.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked No | 28c | 203.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…dc0fbacked No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed No | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 67c | 183.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b4afbacked Yes | 76c | 174.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f4…2460backed No | 30c | 167$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…7430backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed Yes | 74c | 148.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed No | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Yes | 67c | 125$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 66c | 124.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…4198backed No | 32c | 118$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…1134backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked Yes | 66c | 97.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Yes | 71c | 88.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 71c | 86.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 29c | 84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +568.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x427b…eb4bbacked No | 27c | 79.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…0261backed No | 29c | 68.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…80a3backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…eda6backed Yes | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…ec35backed No | 30c | 48.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…db80backed Yes | 78c | 45.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…3d8abacked No | 26c | 43.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759a…5634backed Yes | 79c | 42.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…f206backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…6192backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…bf27backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…b794backed Yes | 72c | 38.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…263fbacked Yes | 64c | 38.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 42c | 37.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…7a8dbacked No | 29c | 35.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +348.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed Yes | 70c | 33.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…31ccbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ab…4cb2backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…43cebacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…9bdbbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 69c | 20.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…9f53backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…ecc6backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…7dc6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ae…e9b2backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc63…31ddbacked Yes | 74c | 19.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…e534backed Yes | 70c | 18.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 71c | 17.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…051cbacked Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?this page
- Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.