Chess · resolved market
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783dac1ba809f6c1d9b4008220dae726d280252efe0767029ffca304788d2156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 1c | 53,064$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…99acbacked Yes | 1c | 14,297$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 1c | 9,109$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…a51cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,235$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Yes | 1c | 6,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 4c | 5,434$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…007fbacked Yes | 28c | 4,606$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…75bcbacked No | 75c | 3,597$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…79d3backed Yes | 30c | 3,340$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 17c | 3,131$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 23c | 3,103$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.78 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,516$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…5fdabacked Yes | 21c | 2,439$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed Yes | 18c | 1,911$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed Yes | 7c | 1,650$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed No | 80c | 1,439$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 18c | 1,166$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.87 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…0caabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…8e64backed Yes | 19c | 706.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 625$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…0bdbbacked Yes | 16c | 603.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +407.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 18c | 545.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…dc0fbacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…761dbacked Yes | 20c | 490.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…1c68backed Yes | 7c | 487.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…af63backed Yes | 19c | 433.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427b…eb4bbacked Yes | 17c | 411$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Yes | 20c | 400.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 3c | 385.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf136…60adbacked Yes | 6c | 376.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…242ebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…94b4backed Yes | 30c | 353.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Yes | 19c | 337.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…e6c1backed Yes | 18c | 283.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…b55dbacked Yes | 4c | 282.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +132%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…b222backed Yes | 17c | 276.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 20c | 271.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +205.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 11c | 259.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…9a47backed Yes | 19c | 236.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 232$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 18c | 228.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…e531backed Yes | 17c | 223$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 20c | 221$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +284.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +341.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…ecc6backed Yes | 21c | 177.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…d389backed Yes | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…525abacked Yes | 22c | 148.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…a285backed Yes | 12c | 121.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…8d61backed Yes | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…51d7backed Yes | 19c | 109.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…b696backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…de15backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ecb…2afdbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…c2fbbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…7430backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…3236backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd767…50bebacked Yes | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609c…2b38backed Yes | 20c | 89.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…286ebacked Yes | 18c | 85.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +296.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…d651backed Yes | 20c | 83.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…0710backed Yes | 24c | 82.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fb…38a5backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Yes | 24c | 76.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…04abbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…263fbacked Yes | 16c | 65.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…6916backed Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…9cd2backed Yes | 23c | 50.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +568.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 77c | 43.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…7a8dbacked Yes | 33c | 33.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +348.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?this page
- Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.