TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9e5…dbc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST7638.2%29 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+433%+$242.09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+86.9%+$11.63
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+509.5%+$844.3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$314.33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+147.1%+$79.03
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+449.5%+$81.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$19.83
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.42
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.98
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.6
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.8
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.48
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.1
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$17.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Twins vs. Brewersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.15
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$47.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$13.8
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4600 September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.