Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bab93f573782144ddc42ada6923df935df79f43baf54327c5eca01b1f3f35be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 40c | 23,761$9,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,396.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 60c | 20,066$12,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,958.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f1…d1e4backed Yes | 38c | 16,769$6,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 15,449$9,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.04 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 39c | 15,000$5,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 38c | 14,963$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 62c | 14,011$8,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.09 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 39c | 10,256$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 62c | 10,070$6,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 60c | 7,801$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.68 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 40c | 7,154$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 12c | 7,148$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.44 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 38c | 6,025$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.36 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 61c | 4,969$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0261…94f1backed No | 62c | 2,670$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…986cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,670$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 58c | 2,569$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.38 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 39c | 2,384$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…c557backed Yes | 39c | 1,862$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 77c | 1,445$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 46c | 1,363$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.75 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 1,338$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.7 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 61c | 1,002$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed No | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 43c | 997.18$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 70c | 977.24$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…a6c3backed No | 62c | 970$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked No | 62c | 950$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +9.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…7fe7backed No | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 59c | 779.77$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.88 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 40c | 751.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…38b6backed No | 62c | 745$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…4481backed Yes | 38c | 720$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d484backed No | 60c | 693.45$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a2efbacked Yes | 38c | 615$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 66c | 592.12$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9a…8963backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 62c | 524.19$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…a550backed Yes | 8c | 495.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 61c | 494.86$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed No | 52c | 428.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3c…0ab0backed No | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 29c | 394.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…7692backed Yes | 38c | 370$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Yes | 9c | 359.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 43c | 349.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e2…7709backed Yes | 38c | 325$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…481ebacked Yes | 38c | 325$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 61c | 275$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…9061backed Yes | 42c | 268.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 29c | 261$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 13c | 256.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Yes | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…95fcbacked No | 62c | 255$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 40c | 246.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 39c | 241.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…364bbacked Yes | 39c | 226.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d44…bcc1backed Yes | 44c | 222.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…d78cbacked Yes | 38c | 215$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…c2debacked Yes | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…9b43backed Yes | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Yes | 39c | 204.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 39c | 197.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 62c | 173.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 27c | 150.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…36e6backed Yes | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…88e0backed Yes | 37c | 144.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9944…86cdbacked No | 63c | 134.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Yes | 38c | 130.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 62c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…b9b3backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…1a59backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…73b7backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 39c | 128.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?this page
- Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.