Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b2dbb6b9343b0c28945e3df6feb2a5b2cc0809073d49596af411f4a1f456d72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f4…97abbacked Yes | 26c | 10,001$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…124dbacked No | 74c | 10,001$7,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…74cebacked No | 74c | 9,997$7,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,397.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…bef4backed Yes | 26c | 9,997$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc132…2f63backed No | 74c | 9,994$7,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…451ebacked Yes | 26c | 9,994$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 25c | 6,752$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.1 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Yes | 76c | 4,774$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 34c | 4,153$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…0ae9backed No | 74c | 1,967$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…a1c5backed Yes | 26c | 1,966$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 65c | 1,695$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.85 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,690$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.19 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.48 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Yes | 26c | 1,457$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 73c | 1,456$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 26c | 1,353$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.97 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed No | 75c | 1,270$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 62c | 1,252$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 73c | 958.23$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 41c | 943.79$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 56c | 864.63$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 677.74$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.76 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 75c | 650$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 597.07$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.28 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 28c | 588.18$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 9c | 568.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.52 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…54e8backed Yes | 27c | 329.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…767abacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…5f4dbacked No | 75c | 282.48$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…930bbacked Yes | 71c | 280.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 25c | 261.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 24c | 231.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 73c | 223.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…b38abacked No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…9717backed No | 74c | 188.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 21c | 172.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 73c | 165.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 27c | 164.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 49c | 141$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…8fd1backed No | 75c | 77.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 27c | 74.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c53…278abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…dc3cbacked Yes | 65c | 68.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…4bc9backed Yes | 27c | 63.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…8080backed No | 74c | 63.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 58.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…c208backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 54c | 48.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 42c | 47.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 52c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 73c | 31.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…42aebacked Yes | 35c | 28.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…026abacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 73c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…e4bdbacked Yes | 66c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Yes | 64c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3266…9390backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?No won
- Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.