TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Baylor vs. Mississippi State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baylorof Baylor, Mississippi State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$520,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$553,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Baylor48c36,900$17,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,088.268644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Mississippi State55c32,914$18,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,1008143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…f77bbacked Mississippi State53c32,406$17,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,272.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Mississippi State18c27,378$5,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.3118850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Mississippi State53c16,472$8,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,812.1710335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a34…5636backed Mississippi State24c12,238$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mississippi State29c11,095$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.481450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Baylor45c9,060$4,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,982.864254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Mississippi State52c8,481$4,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,431.14831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Mississippi State51c8,358$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,280.497936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Baylor63c8,046$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.592634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Mississippi State54c7,918$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,270.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Baylor50c7,329$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.977912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Baylor47c6,625$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.363351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Baylor49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.451428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mississippi State52c5,848$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.4153057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Mississippi State53c3,763$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.344242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Baylor47c3,240$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73342948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Baylor56c3,240$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.029833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Baylor46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.989641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Baylor45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.978138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Baylor46c2,787$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.493036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Baylor46c2,554$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.6216842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mississippi State53c2,000$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.3539144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Baylor45c2,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1102330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Baylor58c1,877$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.2541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd181…c557backed Baylor48c1,797$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Baylor67c1,748$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Mississippi State23c1,545$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccb8…33cdbacked Mississippi State12c1,543$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Baylor66c1,520$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Baylor56c1,389$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.955054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Baylor45c1,326$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.636934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9f…005dbacked Baylor68c1,316$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.91540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5f…9ce2backed Mississippi State52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Mississippi State52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.987145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ac7…2e33backed Baylor47c1,199$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x563b…1b8dbacked Mississippi State54c1,130$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Baylor76c1,056$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.842347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Baylor48c1,011$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mississippi State55c1,009$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5552250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Baylor47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5307237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Baylor46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Baylor48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6390…5ee8backed Mississippi State23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Baylor47c999.98$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9913936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Baylor51c980.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.592676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mississippi State27c907.3$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.44632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Mississippi State44c886.87$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2212435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Mississippi State23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…f8c4backed Mississippi State47c788$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.362227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x70e7…4420backed Mississippi State53c778.37$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.841020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-65.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Baylor46c771.74$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c4…f982backed Mississippi State55c750.34$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Baylor47c716.04$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Baylor49c714.39$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.391050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Mississippi State28c698.04$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-73.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Mississippi State55c677.58$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.721735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Baylor53c634.57$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Baylor48c519.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.42416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c6…a305backed Baylor47c487.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Baylor62c481.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1855657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Baylor46c441.5$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4115851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Baylor48c433.54$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Mississippi State23c429.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003560%21 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Baylor47c426.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Mississippi State24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Mississippi State54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Baylor48c390.72$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.145158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mississippi State54c365.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fcc…2d54backed Mississippi State55c364.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Mississippi State56c354.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…e4f5backed Baylor47c353.81$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Mississippi State17c341.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.682927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Baylor47c319.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.92030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mississippi State41c310.91$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.623652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Mississippi State52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Mississippi State53c299.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.994450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Mississippi State23c299.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Baylor47c296.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.992568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c91…8eb9backed Baylor47c279.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Mississippi State56c278.66$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca6…b719backed Baylor47c263.83$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Mississippi State54c260.72$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.961275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Baylor56c260$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mississippi State50c259.03$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4460551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed Mississippi State53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45f5…01e5backed Mississippi State54c226.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Baylor46c221.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.921127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Baylor47c217.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.488151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mississippi State53c216.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Baylor47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.778463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Baylor48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Baylor47c200.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1130649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Baylor50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Mississippi State51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10257448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Baylor45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Baylor46c192.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.892222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mississippi State11c190$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.620548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Baylor50c185$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.942580%20 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.