Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabe01ccb40eca2b2969f545226940b65507a2c01fd8f481630b957ac697abb7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 77c | 5,944$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.03 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 23c | 3,556$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.85 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 30c | 1,676$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 28c | 1,572$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 70c | 1,513$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.04 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked No | 72c | 741.62$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…c3bfbacked No | 71c | 666.83$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…a933backed Yes | 29c | 666.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…d6febacked Yes | 29c | 629.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 29c | 494.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…4fa1backed No | 72c | 431.22$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 24c | 416.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 354.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 27c | 345.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf12…31afbacked Yes | 29c | 344.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5938…21ecbacked Yes | 29c | 341.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 319.24$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 19c | 302.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 73c | 295.1$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…73a4backed No | 72c | 273.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…3d2fbacked No | 72c | 272.89$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…d053backed Yes | 28c | 261.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 222.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 36c | 167$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 30c | 156.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…b8babacked Yes | 28c | 139.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…1144backed No | 73c | 87.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…9ed2backed No | 73c | 86.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…24f9backed No | 71c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…a204backed No | 73c | 85.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…0a02backed No | 71c | 84.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Yes | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c7…bbaabacked Yes | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked No | 72c | 58.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…3c71backed No | 71c | 57.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…d89abacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…df12backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…71b3backed No | 72c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…c35bbacked Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-02-25?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.