Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fccef8a2800d03c59e2ef175632f757efc31795fb61dfbaf8368b810f89cf7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 14c | 8,784$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.72 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 30c | 2,407$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.52 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 31c | 2,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,781$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.31 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 63c | 1,272$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.97 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 64c | 999.97$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…583fbacked Yes | 37c | 992.22$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed No | 65c | 885.08$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.78 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 779.66$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.81 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 637.23$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.52 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…a3dfbacked Yes | 39c | 562.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 19c | 537.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 63c | 536.6$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 63c | 500$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 60c | 492.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 39c | 465.31$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Yes | 36c | 316$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 276.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 15c | 248.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…44f6backed Yes | 34c | 246$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 16c | 234.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 35c | 199.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 64c | 177.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed No | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…89c4backed Yes | 36c | 161.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…d600backed No | 66c | 161$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 63c | 156.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 66c | 151.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 37c | 148.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…5316backed Yes | 36c | 145.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…216dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…a78fbacked Yes | 37c | 136.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…3fbebacked Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed No | 70c | 124.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…88d9backed Yes | 23c | 117.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed No | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7c…9ad0backed No | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 40c | 98.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b60…09cabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…d606backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…43f1backed No | 66c | 86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…e7a8backed No | 66c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 67c | 75.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…e172backed No | 64c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…15c4backed No | 65c | 71.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb156…16fdbacked No | 65c | 64.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 64c | 63.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 40c | 61.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…631abacked Yes | 36c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked Yes | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 24c | 42.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 71c | 41.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bca6backed Yes | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked Yes | 40c | 37.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…efd2backed Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7937…531dbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…8c84backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…1948backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…31dfbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…5de7backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…7889backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 60c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…f3b8backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…b525backed No | 65c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…029dbacked No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-02-25?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-02-25?Yes won
- Will Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.