TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7d4…962d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$400.01
Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$93.04
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+43%+$43
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$142.96
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$110.53
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+85.4%+$42.68
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+60%+$103.12
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.49
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.99
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$19.93
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$830.22
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+783.4%+$3,720.96
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,030.12
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.89
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.21
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$166
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$51.7
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$129.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$59.62
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$58.97
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$50.87
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris FC win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+469.9%+$2,584.25
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$362
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.92
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$66.12
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$89.51
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+123.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+177%+$70.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$11.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.