La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf067b23fba42dbc73c3bc408b5274d82e48e88d1ba68579efae51b83d66f6a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 36c | 50,598$18,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,215.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 64c | 39,396$25,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,182.56 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 8,533$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.66 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 64c | 1,595$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.11 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 1,312$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.23 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 20c | 504.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 11c | 472.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 340$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 335$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…fa71backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 63c | 299.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 64c | 299.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…30efbacked Yes | 37c | 293.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 66c | 284.85$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 276$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 65c | 270$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 9c | 231$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 70c | 192.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 77c | 137.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 68c | 135.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…7e5fbacked No | 65c | 119.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 114.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 65c | 103.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 70c | 72.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 64c | 55.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 65c | 50.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5d87backed No | 64c | 30.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 37c | 28.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…cd54backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…f9e9backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.