La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca3f972ecfb114d68f9d5833cf819e7d4c3c2780b10a416dda05cbcc7b524d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 67c | 120,686$80,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,859.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,000 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 35,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,750 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 65c | 34,924$22,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,696.16 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 13,592$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,106.94 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 33c | 6,400$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 65c | 2,192$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.6 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 39c | 1,818$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.18 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,471$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 47c | 713.56$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.9 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 68c | 627.71$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 66c | 545.29$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.89 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 79c | 529.39$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 49c | 478.01$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.55 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked No | 66c | 331.48$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 33c | 301.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…fa71backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 34c | 296.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 39c | 246.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Yes | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 36c | 158.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 67c | 151.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 66c | 148.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…230fbacked Yes | 34c | 147.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 68c | 142$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 62c | 140.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 29c | 133$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…b59bbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed No | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 30cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…30efbacked Yes | 34c | 63.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…8e9fbacked Yes | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 31c | 56.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…2489backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…79f0backed Yes | 76c | 28.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-28?No won
- Will Elche CF vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.