TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2ee…d511

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$690.37
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.26
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.67
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$31.04
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Will Sporting CP advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Monaco advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+270.4%+$40.56
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Feyenoord beat Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will Real Madrid beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+39.9%+$7.98
Will the match between Manchester City and Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.06
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.94
Will Fulham win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+525%+$105
Will Liverpool vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick30cpaid+111.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100.04
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$43.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.