Champions League · resolved market
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top Champions League scorer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71cea5060c2180e5e054dd1c5c0fcf4a4b7ab770fe8a168de71c2e4a7f839549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 35c | 8,480$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,336$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.14 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,674$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 80c | 3,048$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.91 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 65c | 2,615$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…8793backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 24c | 1,251$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.04 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bc…2cc7backed Yes | 7c | 1,003$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 4c | 937.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 20c | 864.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 25c | 638$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 22c | 636.87$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 24c | 585.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…7f5bbacked Yes | 26c | 442.76$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 14c | 419.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 30c | 372.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 362.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 11c | 352.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed Yes | 6c | 348.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 269.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 23c | 205.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 203.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 12c | 194.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…1f91backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 156.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 10c | 143$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 29c | 142$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 38c | 133.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked Yes | 36c | 111.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…99cebacked Yes | 37c | 107.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…07e0backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 76c | 94.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +371.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…4736backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fe…8433backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…eaa9backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…56dbbacked Yes | 30c | 62.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…de41backed Yes | 30c | 57.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…4792backed No | 71c | 52.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…a2d7backed No | 77c | 36.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…e154backed Yes | 29c | 34.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 31c | 34.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +139%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…4aecbacked Yes | 30c | 34.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…ede8backed No | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…f235backed Yes | 30c | 33.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7417…1daabacked No | 70c | 32.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…5e84backed No | 70c | 32.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…926bbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…d8a6backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…d674backed No | 70c | 30.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…58afbacked No | 71c | 30.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa959…3d72backed No | 70c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…f747backed No | 71c | 29.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…6921backed No | 71c | 28.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…7986backed No | 70c | 26.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…33e7backed No | 70c | 26.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…e937backed No | 71c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…ec31backed No | 70c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…f515backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…96b7backed No | 70c | 18.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdd…e05bbacked No | 71c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…619fbacked No | 70c | 17.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…8c31backed No | 71c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0917…5b2fbacked No | 70c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…2dd6backed No | 71c | 14.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robert Lewandowski be the top Champions League scorer?this page
- Will Antoine Griezmann be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Bukayo Saka be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Evangelos Pavlidis be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Harry Kane be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Jamie Bynoe-Gittens be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Jose Vinicius Junior be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Julian Alvarez be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Lautaro Martinez be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Michael Olise be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Mohamed Salah be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembele be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?Yes won
- Will Rodrygo be the top Champions League scorer?No won
- Will Serhou Guirassy be the top Champions League scorer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.