TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04c7…af7fbacked No37c14,978$5,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5571070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed No0c12,553$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5360%0 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes64c10,525$6,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.173748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aad…4e00backed Yes52c5,036$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes62c4,118$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.9911916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes74c3,947$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.9924742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes12c3,782$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.082437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed No1c3,730$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4150%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb6…099fbacked No43c3,312$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No60c2,479$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.2729138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc43b…784dbacked Yes43c2,321$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.821136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes69c2,309$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.649343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No2c2,232$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279c…e3b2backed No1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes56c1,886$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes56c1,700$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.787435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes31c1,589$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.412142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No45c1,428$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.293330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No38c1,375$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff0…f9e0backed No44c1,341$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed No50c1,308$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.861747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+306.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c1,224$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.961877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes55c1,167$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…c95fbacked Yes60c1,161$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes68c1,085$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.074337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes65c875.46$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.0517560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes14c799.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.994443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked No46c753.42$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes46c718.39$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.522828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes52c689.67$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.858060%48 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No53c653.88$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.754337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35be…52d9backed No39c639.47$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes31c624.5$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…2525backed Yes48c622.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes59c566.19$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes11c556$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.41241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+145%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes50c540.84$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6325735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes56c463.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.987041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes37c351.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.352860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No43c333.59$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91d…6962backed Yes32c328.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed No50c304.08$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.044235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b3…4f0abacked Yes33c303.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.521650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1269840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes55c282.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.011844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No36c272.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.471030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes57c264.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.782339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No66c264.39$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.59952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No20c245.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes78c204.16$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3817048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ae…7a7ebacked Yes53c188.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98c…02c6backed Yes29c163.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+133.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x981a…9bb8backed Yes36c158.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0e…e56bbacked Yes63c156.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ced…c4a8backed Yes29c151.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes17c150.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.184839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.53727%10 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10b…5647backed No44c146.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes49c140$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.18720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No51c127.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.565547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes50c123$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No40c121.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155a…f515backed No64c110$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf937…6b43backed Yes52c104.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.555761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2e…745cbacked Yes49c101.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656428.1%18 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes17c99.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.381020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+139%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes14c90$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.23225%8 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d4…ab32backed No47c83.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed No71c81.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.672035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564100%4 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+669.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x01b4…4736backed Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…2bd2backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a39…f057backed No72c71.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6985…90e8backed No72c70.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8199…6f79backed Yes28c68.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x138e…42b4backed No74c67.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7322…1ff6backed No72c66.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b7…1ce7backed No44c65.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf46…3c69backed Yes31c64.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d43…37e9backed Yes31c59.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c4…dc01backed No73c59.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes53c58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.316238.7%24 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes59c55.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.924131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8595…db29backed Yes35c54.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b14…5115backed Yes37c51.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4c…48ffbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f3…8d7ebacked Yes33c44.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed No57c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.73666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebc…80e3backed Yes36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb18…6ed0backed No57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa74…4c14backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6616327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e5…c8ebbacked Yes38c39.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a10…be21backed Yes37c38.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a9…64cbbacked Yes60c38.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…78cdbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3897…d445backed No72c33.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf185…1bd1backed Yes37c29.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.