TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Harry Kane be the top Champions League scorer?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,409 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes23c2,877$662 inLost-$661.714235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes19c2,494$467 inLost-$467.2611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc43b…784dbacked No78c1,282$1,000 inWon+$282.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf4…8f44backed Yes23c788.78$185 inLost-$18540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes15c543.65$79 inLost-$79.1729138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f7…e1d3backed Yes22c500$110 inLost-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes23c420.84$95 inLost-$95.49343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes19c343.98$65 inLost-$65.24337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c8…c165backed Yes24c208.15$50 inLost-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No78c200$155 inWon+$4529136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes10c173.47$17 inLost-$17.354443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes7c166.16$12 inLost-$12.2660%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ede…4f0abacked No78c150.99$118 inWon+$33.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes8c149.94$12 inLost-$12175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes9c140.54$13 inLost-$12.651020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+139%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…ee31backed Yes8c125.38$10 inLost-$10.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…e93bbacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab4…5e4cbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…ce9dbacked No78c100$78 inWon+$22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155a…f515backed Yes14c100$14 inLost-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8525…1520backed No77c100$77 inWon+$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed No78c96.75$75 inWon+$21.286428.1%18 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes21c87.36$18 inLost-$18.358060%48 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe556…4659backed Yes24c85$20 inLost-$20.4850%4 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+124.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost-$204131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2353…6a76backed Yes24c73.29$18 inLost-$17.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes21c70$15 inLost-$14.724742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost-$111526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+91.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x138e…42b4backed No77c40$31 inWon+$9.21163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No76c26.67$20 inWon+$6.425735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb18…6ed0backed No79c21$17 inWon+$4.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed No79c21$17 inWon+$4.41666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.