TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06b9…fb44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst F1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2913.8%4 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.01
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,032.7%+$191.46
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$36.63
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.31
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+2,249.1%+$564.31
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.53
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Serhou Guirassy be the top Champions League scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$14.78
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.14
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.94
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+188.6%+$24.18
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$37.01
Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.18
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.96
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.29
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.38
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.23
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$17.66
Will Wolverhampton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.94
Will Liverpool vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.43
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-73.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Jamahl Mosley win NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.2
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+270.4%+$40.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$126.58
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+376.2%+$51.51
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.41
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.14
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+200%+$20
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.4
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.45
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27.42
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+515.2%+$84.16
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.84
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$34.77
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.85
Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $135-150m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick7cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.