TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,780,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,598,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,780,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,091 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes3c4,617,934$139,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,128.01333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes3c1,674,542$50,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,716.53714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick3cpaid+663.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked Yes3c907,868$27,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,510.331010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-86.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes3c513,415$14,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,855.211916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes3c191,729$5,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,565.384744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes2c133,873$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.19205%1 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes3c101,735$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes3c91,621$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.32616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick2cpaid+669.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes1c84,192$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.24233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes3c83,640$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.841915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-74.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes3c72,289$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.831241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+145%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes3c67,816$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.23195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+137.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…0a1fbacked Yes3c60,368$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc856…8b15backed Yes3c60,015$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c0…6de5backed Yes3c59,922$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…5c69backed Yes3c59,369$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…a9bdbacked Yes3c58,933$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34bf…d785backed Yes3c58,814$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11f…0dcdbacked Yes3c58,732$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ec…cddfbacked Yes3c58,572$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80e…d16abacked Yes3c58,515$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f59…28c3backed Yes3c58,501$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde26…0ccfbacked Yes3c58,494$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a2…a4f4backed Yes3c58,463$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcdb…9b03backed Yes3c58,386$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…637ebacked Yes3c58,303$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…7686backed Yes3c57,990$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2501…6f08backed Yes3c57,948$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…3657backed Yes3c57,923$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x784a…906bbacked Yes3c57,614$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a3…67ecbacked Yes3c57,516$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c3…e9b8backed Yes3c57,514$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef0…79c3backed Yes3c57,392$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee6…d651backed Yes3c57,294$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca2…7c22backed Yes3c56,908$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6873…0a47backed Yes3c56,726$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7be…7114backed Yes3c56,661$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x771e…0836backed Yes3c56,622$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c6…72b8backed Yes3c56,581$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed35…cb40backed Yes3c56,231$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda0…6599backed Yes3c56,210$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f08fbacked Yes3c56,136$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x628c…dfc9backed Yes3c56,114$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9321…2127backed Yes3c55,989$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8dc…d65cbacked Yes3c55,833$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes2c55,714$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.2660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b19…82cdbacked Yes3c55,623$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5393…7353backed Yes3c55,302$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd014…10adbacked Yes3c54,983$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4322backed Yes3c54,917$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32fa…8ae3backed Yes3c54,750$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes3c54,692$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.293828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a70…71c7backed Yes3c54,614$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090f…d6a1backed Yes3c54,508$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8851…defcbacked Yes3c54,388$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6791…51bbbacked Yes3c54,251$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bef…0c48backed Yes3c54,225$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8486…74f2backed Yes3c54,052$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe642…d8abbacked Yes3c54,043$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe588…aa2abacked Yes3c53,917$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…28a3backed Yes3c53,894$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba76…3896backed Yes3c53,873$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f2…3b87backed Yes3c53,764$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4181…9874backed Yes3c53,716$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d45…61d4backed Yes3c53,608$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1986backed Yes3c53,397$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd376…9a2fbacked Yes3c53,230$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda6…0d0bbacked Yes3c53,210$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12b…a43ebacked Yes3c53,043$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f4…bb8abacked Yes3c52,514$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a0…4832backed Yes3c52,312$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec5…2eaabacked Yes3c52,247$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…6ca0backed Yes3c52,018$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc2…1bddbacked Yes4c52,000$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d19…7485backed Yes3c51,977$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb931…2ad2backed Yes3c51,780$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d5…4cbdbacked Yes3c51,643$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bfa…e767backed Yes3c51,568$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3666…febabacked Yes3c51,469$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaecd…a2c7backed Yes3c51,455$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4f…2791backed Yes3c51,338$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e60…eba4backed Yes3c51,140$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b4…532cbacked Yes3c51,035$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdc…c70fbacked Yes3c50,765$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…311abacked Yes3c50,498$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19be…dae9backed Yes3c50,465$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe64…c62fbacked Yes3c50,255$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b6…c1f6backed Yes3c50,192$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes3c50,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+92%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0be4…1446backed Yes3c49,985$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…ceebbacked Yes3c49,941$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc13…6c62backed Yes3c49,795$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f92…8b23backed Yes3c49,509$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1b…c4d3backed Yes3c49,460$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0dc…df99backed Yes3c49,131$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37f…c7d4backed Yes3c49,073$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06b5…f968backed Yes3c49,018$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0887…9d8ebacked Yes3c48,945$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3c…bfd4backed Yes3c48,785$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8d…4dfcbacked Yes3c48,741$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.