TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,171,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,123,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,171,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes1c845,201$11,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,327.98333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c392,412$5,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,201.023125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c387,372$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.9912921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c263,274$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.7611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes1c169,827$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.32195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+137.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes1c116,296$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.94150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c92,379$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.34293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes1c90,165$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.814744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c81,253$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.2970%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes1c73,054$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.5890%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c71,614$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.13240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c66,816$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes1c53,810$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.18137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+145.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x064f…7d6abacked Yes2c50,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes1c47,772$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.872412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes1c46,944$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.25273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…1efdbacked Yes2c43,546$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.1970%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes1c41,266$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes1c40,445$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.875939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes1c38,315$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.692433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes1c36,702$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.625512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c34,098$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.916817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes2c33,971$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.21910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+187.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes1c31,816$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.13273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c28,651$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+146.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c26,487$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.95484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Yes2c23,830$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…fbc8backed Yes1c23,672$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c22,208$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2810419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes1c21,886$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.093447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes1c21,028$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.552516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…807dbacked Yes1c20,638$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c20,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0762…c97fbacked Yes1c19,968$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa120…ff9dbacked Yes1c19,312$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3a…3691backed Yes1c19,307$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccc…8aedbacked Yes1c18,232$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.16714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+740.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb7…6f09backed Yes1c17,866$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes2c17,134$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.81812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+374.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555f…012bbacked Yes1c15,965$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.931827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes1c15,000$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5824742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7d…78e4backed Yes1c14,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a4…9549backed Yes1c14,286$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb6…56b0backed Yes2c12,600$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf4…5edfbacked Yes2c12,200$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9352…6de3backed Yes2c11,800$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c11,651$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b85…4be3backed Yes1c11,610$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.21616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1576…90e0backed Yes2c11,600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e5…7b67backed Yes1c11,538$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…85a6backed Yes1c11,085$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick1cpaid+355.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c83…9e5fbacked Yes1c10,856$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes2c10,600$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce4…b96ebacked Yes2c10,363$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,654.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103129%9 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf4b…5ae1backed Yes2c10,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96fc…cc0bbacked Yes2c9,938$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd435…b8bdbacked Yes1c9,733$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes1c9,685$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec4…a446backed Yes2c9,524$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7567…4981backed Yes1c9,000$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes1c8,869$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9518950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8a…4c16backed Yes2c8,133$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes1c8,000$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-81.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes1c7,890$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.53710.8%4 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…64c5backed Yes2c7,738$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd8…2dd9backed Yes1c7,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes1c7,500$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.511548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64fb…5799backed Yes1c7,441$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+130.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes1c7,075$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.683928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+106.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes1c7,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+91.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x475a…57d4backed Yes2c6,992$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes1c6,917$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.17616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick2cpaid+669.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8477…8e16backed Yes1c6,417$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…1116backed Yes2c6,252$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3650%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0db…8f5ebacked Yes2c6,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…f9cfbacked Yes2c6,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a26…eb11backed Yes2c6,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3754…317fbacked Yes2c6,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f5…f6a9backed Yes2c6,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d9…04e1backed Yes2c6,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663e…61c8backed Yes1c6,040$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe57…1b5ebacked Yes1c6,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c5,980$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.242520%5 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+156.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed Yes1c5,868$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.062218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+189.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed Yes1c5,750$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.231931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes1c5,634$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d05…b196backed Yes2c5,631$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d3…c14bbacked Yes2c5,600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+762.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe1…46cdbacked Yes2c5,489$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8943…b8a4backed Yes2c5,336$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bc…8815backed Yes1c5,335$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda64…664dbacked Yes2c5,322$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f0…a57dbacked Yes1c5,286$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e7…d258backed Yes1c5,179$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2c…1494backed Yes1c5,137$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.06258%2 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…7d29backed Yes1c5,077$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6650%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eea…4bb0backed Yes1c5,026$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.36520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0733…7aedbacked Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.