TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,166,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,247,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,166,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 840 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes2c1,095,975$18,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,082.65333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c613,541$8,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,307.873125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes2c511,733$8,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,851.8211916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c391,306$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,542.3112921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes2c231,699$4,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.97280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes1c201,956$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.18150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes1c185,321$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.42195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+137.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes2c165,506$3,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.14744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes2c163,293$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.55273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes2c115,431$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.46293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes2c83,774$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.161526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes2c77,534$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.332433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes2c77,195$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.91185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+146.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes2c67,214$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.7110419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d7…d248backed Yes2c63,866$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a1b…2d39backed Yes2c59,819$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa576…030abacked Yes2c59,720$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf9…b520backed Yes2c59,720$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a6…553ebacked Yes2c59,720$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b9…e576backed Yes2c59,720$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04fd…27f7backed Yes2c59,720$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…2aa4backed Yes2c59,720$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…d7ddbacked Yes2c59,720$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0d…44f9backed Yes2c59,702$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…f2ccbacked Yes2c59,702$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f05…1917backed Yes2c59,702$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8787…0b17backed Yes2c59,505$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8730…ca60backed Yes2c59,242$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc906…d504backed Yes2c59,242$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5f…29f5backed Yes2c59,242$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5abd…7c3dbacked Yes2c59,233$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47f…74a8backed Yes2c59,233$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfade…cc91backed Yes2c59,233$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8457…4a82backed Yes2c59,185$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd0…e441backed Yes2c59,126$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfe…02fabacked Yes2c57,684$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x171c…4197backed Yes2c57,631$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669e…8559backed Yes2c57,631$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab5…f400backed Yes2c57,631$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077a…c6f5backed Yes2c57,631$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161d…4b14backed Yes2c57,631$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0777…3eabbacked Yes2c57,631$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes2c57,178$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.311910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+187.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes2c56,749$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.57137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+145.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c8…6e68backed Yes0c56,177$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.85190%0 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1520…5d5fbacked Yes2c55,447$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0153…e115backed Yes2c55,261$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3d…8088backed Yes2c55,261$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…68eebacked Yes2c55,261$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e7…5d32backed Yes2c54,958$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ed…b115backed Yes2c53,369$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf2…7858backed Yes2c53,369$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b6…015bbacked Yes2c53,369$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c9…8fd9backed Yes2c53,322$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d5…3ad3backed Yes2c53,114$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd8…68b5backed Yes2c53,075$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed93…c59bbacked Yes2c52,648$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f4…7098backed Yes2c52,599$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee70…1c47backed Yes2c52,475$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39c…eefdbacked Yes2c51,999$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7b…e790backed Yes2c51,202$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201f…b8a9backed Yes2c51,202$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62b0…dfcbbacked Yes2c51,202$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c1…2fccbacked Yes2c51,047$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb3…188bbacked Yes2c51,047$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abe…a105backed Yes2c51,047$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ec…57f3backed Yes2c51,000$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eee…1bfebacked Yes2c51,000$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4107…fb93backed Yes2c51,000$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f3…de42backed Yes2c51,000$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb747…4f19backed Yes2c51,000$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd723…0294backed Yes2c50,986$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…4995backed Yes2c50,986$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…7fc9backed Yes2c50,709$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840f…3f14backed Yes2c50,709$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ccd…f269backed Yes2c50,193$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f5…7de9backed Yes2c50,193$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0f…fd90backed Yes2c50,193$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c7…5b3abacked Yes2c50,193$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05f…4745backed Yes2c50,193$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4de7…1bc9backed Yes2c50,193$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3319…d6a2backed Yes2c50,193$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd0…0f7dbacked Yes2c50,186$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdb…e067backed Yes2c50,171$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f23…5d1fbacked Yes2c50,171$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d1…8f86backed Yes2c46,684$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2781…3c21backed Yes2c46,649$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…85a6backed Yes2c46,247$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.14137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick1cpaid+355.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes2c45,180$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.372412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes2c40,947$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f5…a9efbacked Yes3c40,387$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ded…990dbacked Yes1c39,624$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes2c39,366$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.59458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes2c38,223$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.52273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes2c37,958$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.64205%1 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes2c37,813$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.045512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes2c36,683$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.191241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+145%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes2c32,914$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.176817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9790…3db0backed Yes2c30,282$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.