Champions League · resolved market
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af6dd3e572d4a2bb12f326ad8cbc20971b2066e05e97469d32646f696d066b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,482,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,347,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,482,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,468,223$52,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,232.51 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,189,002$17,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,093.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 686,379$9,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,655.82 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 243,998$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.81 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 219,738$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.32 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 176,707$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.77 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Yes | 0c | 142,591$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 2c | 108,797$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.58 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 95,023$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.9 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +187.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 2c | 93,592$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +392.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 2c | 88,035$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.07 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 2c | 83,550$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.73 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 2c | 73,878$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.84 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8da…4749backed Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa723…7920backed Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc100…9e17backed Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…328dbacked Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…66a8backed Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…d44fbacked Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5164…332abacked Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…e9b4backed Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…ac83backed Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…c95cbacked Yes | 1c | 66,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…19a4backed Yes | 1c | 66,588$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4678…bc0abacked Yes | 1c | 66,306$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…19d0backed Yes | 1c | 66,306$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8f…77c3backed Yes | 1c | 66,306$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…5551backed Yes | 1c | 66,256$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…0f24backed Yes | 1c | 66,256$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…327bbacked Yes | 1c | 66,229$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…78cfbacked Yes | 1c | 66,229$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…439dbacked Yes | 1c | 66,229$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…d364backed Yes | 1c | 66,179$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Yes | 2c | 64,355$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…35d2backed Yes | 2c | 59,832$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 1c | 59,432$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.83 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…e89cbacked Yes | 2c | 58,921$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…ad00backed Yes | 2c | 58,853$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…0335backed Yes | 2c | 58,849$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…b202backed Yes | 2c | 58,588$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…7f06backed Yes | 2c | 58,457$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…5c11backed Yes | 2c | 58,438$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…14d7backed Yes | 2c | 58,403$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…a08cbacked Yes | 2c | 58,144$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…ea1ebacked Yes | 2c | 57,923$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…4115backed Yes | 2c | 57,904$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…014bbacked Yes | 2c | 57,897$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e87…d6a4backed Yes | 2c | 57,813$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…2585backed Yes | 2c | 57,532$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 55,705$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.48 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a29…acc9backed Yes | 1c | 53,589$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…09b0backed Yes | 1c | 53,589$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…0b67backed Yes | 1c | 53,539$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…ae02backed Yes | 1c | 53,539$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…789dbacked Yes | 1c | 53,402$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…499cbacked Yes | 2c | 51,847$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…787cbacked Yes | 2c | 51,303$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.81 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 1c | 50,081$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2db4backed Yes | 1c | 49,896$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 1c | 43,495$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2a…36acbacked Yes | 2c | 43,202$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…8d6fbacked Yes | 2c | 43,202$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…2ef7backed Yes | 1c | 43,112$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4689…eb59backed Yes | 1c | 43,062$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 2c | 41,388$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.21 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca60…f84ebacked Yes | 2c | 39,744$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 1c | 37,662$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.47 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +250.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 2c | 32,987$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 3cpaid | +663.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…4a10backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.83 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 1c | 28,933$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…1494backed Yes | 1c | 28,583$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.62 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 2c | 27,219$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.18 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 27,171$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.83 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 26,774$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.06 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +285.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…3868backed Yes | 2c | 26,094$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 25,122$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Yes | 2c | 23,253$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 23,171$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.31 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed Yes | 1c | 23,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 1c | 22,189$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 0cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 1c | 21,287$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa120…ff9dbacked Yes | 1c | 21,190$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 2c | 21,184$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…a195backed Yes | 2c | 20,770$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…51fcbacked Yes | 2c | 20,662$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…0eecbacked Yes | 2c | 18,946$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,800$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 1c | 16,766$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf61…2387backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 2c | 16,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4864…cb87backed Yes | 1c | 16,097$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…f9b1backed Yes | 1c | 15,857$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,361$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…2cc4backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f23abacked Yes | 2c | 14,998$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…5799backed Yes | 2c | 14,270$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,177$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +247.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Girona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.