TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,772,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,143,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,772,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c2,483,158$16,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,510.46240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c1,449,889$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.231915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-74.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c890,465$6,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,213.26150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c763,667$5,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,748.12190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583d…1557backed Yes1c758,552$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,020.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa256…2029backed Yes1c754,569$5,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,996.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c377,592$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.21484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c284,039$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes1c223,386$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.03333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c219,132$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.6711916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes1c166,133$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.18150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c83,604$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.72160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6a…a012backed Yes1c82,564$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.08520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+110.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c69,996$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.97293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c59,997$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9912921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c59,632$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.09166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03c…45fcbacked Yes1c46,732$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.590%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes1c40,000$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ac…6e16backed Yes0c39,700$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c38,693$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.22422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes1c37,429$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.08273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c33,793$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.98244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes1c28,031$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.66205%1 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c26,815$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0810419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes2c26,146$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.2690%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes1c25,880$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.76273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6996…75e5backed Yes1c23,203$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7889…5d6ebacked Yes1c22,909$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9370%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cba…b9acbacked Yes1c20,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa120…ff9dbacked Yes1c18,750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c18,000$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4395…5b90backed Yes1c17,571$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231060%6 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+371.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a38…3318backed Yes1c17,448$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf443…31f9backed Yes1c17,118$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c8d…6bdfbacked Yes1c16,750$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes2c16,194$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.87137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+145.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec9f…2338backed Yes1c16,125$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…cdbdbacked Yes1c16,118$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes1c15,711$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.82195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+137.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…5905backed Yes1c15,375$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099b…217dbacked Yes1c15,375$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd6…2199backed Yes1c15,160$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+397.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f7…3b79backed Yes1c14,000$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a60…4d2bbacked Yes2c13,979$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4600…8060backed Yes1c13,500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd726…67e6backed Yes1c12,625$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d90…19b3backed Yes1c12,468$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8b…e440backed Yes1c12,273$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5c…f37fbacked Yes0c11,999$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes0c11,888$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4480%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c10,721$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.12458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…6242backed Yes1c10,421$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9fe…0675backed Yes1c10,222$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2264…0b9dbacked Yes1c10,160$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103129%9 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes2c10,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe809…abe9backed Yes1c10,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes1c10,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc4…974ebacked Yes0c9,999$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29d…c4d1backed Yes1c9,669$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b7…190dbacked Yes1c9,597$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371b…ebffbacked Yes1c9,435$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce0…8f00backed Yes2c9,032$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3596…6c81backed Yes0c9,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f7…efb8backed Yes1c8,670$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbb…458ebacked Yes1c8,485$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…5c35backed Yes1c8,189$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…23c6backed Yes0c8,166$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5598…0f47backed Yes1c8,136$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-79.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2781…cbe2backed Yes1c8,114$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes1c8,110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.47185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-77.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5817…67afbacked Yes1c7,904$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa70f…9185backed Yes1c7,778$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e9…6c5fbacked Yes1c7,671$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…1030backed Yes1c7,328$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes1c7,186$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.512433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8d…7813backed Yes1c7,058$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d3…cf42backed Yes0c7,042$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c6,891$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.131010%1 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick1cpaid+259.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2db…bdb0backed Yes1c6,856$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fe…a030backed Yes1c6,698$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes2c6,673$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.76140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb235…e937backed Yes1c6,633$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d34…17e8backed Yes1c6,346$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…8b85backed Yes1c6,298$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa390…73d0backed Yes1c6,292$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x706c…7924backed Yes1c6,286$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58bf…cb59backed Yes1c6,282$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…c151backed Yes0c6,255$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes1c6,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd34…c40cbacked Yes1c6,069$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…058ebacked Yes1c5,889$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…b09cbacked Yes1c5,813$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea26…f50dbacked Yes1c5,813$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes1c5,804$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2218334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbe…05e2backed Yes1c5,738$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce98…ba5ebacked Yes1c5,697$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes1c5,539$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.921145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick14cpaid+206.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7be2…fbccbacked Yes1c5,533$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbdd…d564backed Yes1c5,500$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.