Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x336b836bc093abf16cfedb2388de47cad0b0eab32f46ebbce67fd37053a9aa4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,640,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,056,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,640,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 9c | 141,592$12,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,511.97 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 8c | 100,048$8,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,428.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +147%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 10c | 90,471$8,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,696.09 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 10c | 83,981$7,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,981 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 6c | 80,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5015…2691backed Yes | 14c | 58,000$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…fa66backed Yes | 5c | 52,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…c62bbacked Yes | 10c | 49,958$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 8c | 45,566$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.94 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 9c | 32,576$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.08 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 10c | 30,485$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.42 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 11c | 27,677$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +304.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 11c | 24,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 10c | 22,690$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 14c | 20,997$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.82 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 8c | 16,942$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.04 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 7c | 16,034$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.57 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 8c | 15,742$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…dcc7backed Yes | 11c | 11,242$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 9c | 10,621$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.89 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 11c | 10,059$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.67 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 10c | 9,806$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +187.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 10c | 9,667$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.65 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 7c | 8,772$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…5340backed Yes | 6c | 8,349$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 7c | 7,119$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +420.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 13c | 7,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes | 9c | 6,949$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 10c | 6,893$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.35 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 12c | 6,800$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.71 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…5ab8backed Yes | 8c | 6,669$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 14c | 6,050$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.97 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,865$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1750…c478backed Yes | 9c | 5,667$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed Yes | 5c | 5,546$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.34 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…dd61backed Yes | 7c | 5,374$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 9c | 4,845$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.41 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…2cc0backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a5…a50bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,724$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 8c | 3,700$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 8c | 3,371$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 9c | 3,362$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…046bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,314$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.45 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 10c | 3,214$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.86 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,955$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.89 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e67…7417backed Yes | 10c | 2,816$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…8f64backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…e615backed Yes | 9c | 2,724$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b61…c9eebacked Yes | 15c | 2,718$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 6c | 2,701$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 11c | 2,623$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 10c | 2,394$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.41 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…9cf7backed Yes | 10c | 2,249$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…96cfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,225$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…7bbbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,186$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…a220backed Yes | 9c | 2,165$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,160$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…15f1backed Yes | 11c | 2,092$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…495cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,080$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…b4c2backed Yes | 10c | 2,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…7df8backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 11c | 1,961$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +437.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 8c | 1,941$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…af9dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,910$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…c167backed Yes | 9c | 1,900$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143a…782abacked Yes | 6c | 1,867$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…aca2backed Yes | 10c | 1,801$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 12c | 1,714$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 6c | 1,702$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 9c | 1,697$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…6c0bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,694$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…bcc0backed Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,600$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 14c | 1,556$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.89 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…f87dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…0a3abacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…1246backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…7d29backed Yes | 10c | 1,494$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…7db7backed Yes | 9c | 1,475$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…a40dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,455$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…425bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,268$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…d386backed Yes | 11c | 1,266$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…d758backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…f111backed Yes | 9c | 1,139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441f…1f9abacked Yes | 9c | 1,119$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…fb6ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Girona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.