TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,469,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,440,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,469,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c3,573,188$16,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,986.58240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c1,156,242$5,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,781.21150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c856,105$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.5512921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c603,591$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.96484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c595,380$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.92190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c477,135$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.11244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes1c259,186$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.93110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c215,996$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.98293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c208,508$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.51333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d5…9f5abacked Yes0c124,750$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.25140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Yes0c117,090$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c114,667$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6611…2ea9backed Yes1c86,073$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170f…4ca1backed Yes1c81,977$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1245backed Yes1c78,431$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c78,242$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.59422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d4…4bbbbacked Yes1c78,045$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x456d…1d49backed Yes1c78,045$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…68b7backed Yes0c64,744$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.23130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4954…3882backed Yes0c64,711$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.13130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669b…45dbbacked Yes0c64,706$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.12130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207f…3d23backed Yes0c64,590$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.77130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfe…757fbacked Yes0c64,590$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.77130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…7a9ebacked Yes0c64,579$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.74130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe822…84bdbacked Yes0c64,454$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.36150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3361…1150backed Yes0c64,454$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.36137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd255…3031backed Yes0c64,413$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.24130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5125backed Yes0c64,220$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.66147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f5…58bebacked Yes0c63,915$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.75130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634b…0816backed Yes0c63,912$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d81…f14bbacked Yes0c63,883$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.65120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb69…9b84backed Yes0c63,806$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.42130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c4…2e45backed Yes0c63,806$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.42130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…3c3fbacked Yes0c63,794$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.38147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe40…638fbacked Yes0c63,717$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ca…ec75backed Yes0c63,685$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.06140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cff…b144backed Yes0c63,628$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.88120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…1205backed Yes0c63,573$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.72120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab9…540dbacked Yes0c63,303$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.91140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab44…549bbacked Yes0c63,303$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.91130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c1…86a2backed Yes0c63,140$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.42130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeff…7e03backed Yes0c63,101$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b50…c237backed Yes0c62,968$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…2ce3backed Yes0c62,926$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.78147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca7…7a6bbacked Yes0c62,841$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.52130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7800…73d2backed Yes0c62,741$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.22140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098d…77f7backed Yes0c62,703$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.11130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c4…3279backed Yes0c62,625$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.88156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-90.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dba…c8efbacked Yes0c62,532$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0986…621abacked Yes0c62,472$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.42147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f0…c92bbacked Yes0c62,379$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.14147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-88.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…fa3fbacked Yes0c62,276$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.83130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b8c…9a50backed Yes0c62,260$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.78130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4895…4612backed Yes0c62,149$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.45130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebb…7ee7backed Yes0c61,723$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.17130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0283…42afbacked Yes0c61,145$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.44147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…e92cbacked Yes0c60,590$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.77147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-87.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…b579backed Yes0c60,454$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9d…3a63backed Yes0c59,408$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452d…eba4backed Yes0c58,985$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.95147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbabe…f07dbacked Yes0c58,891$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.67140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7306…8998backed Yes0c57,132$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-88.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d9b6backed Yes0c56,079$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.24130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394a…c246backed Yes0c55,950$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.85130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7be…0987backed Yes0c54,775$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.33130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb60…cfe0backed Yes0c54,101$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e2…9b8fbacked Yes0c53,378$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…abe9backed Yes0c53,209$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.63130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb20…1bc5backed Yes0c52,520$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.56120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f1…d88dbacked Yes0c51,500$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes0c51,263$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.264332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a8…2b7ebacked Yes0c51,173$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.52130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…463dbacked Yes0c51,156$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.47147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…89f1backed Yes0c51,110$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.33147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584e…3ec9backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca67…07fcbacked Yes0c49,854$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.56120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7620…556dbacked Yes0c49,796$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.39130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…8e31backed Yes0c49,604$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.811315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-66.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d1…70acbacked Yes0c48,829$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.49147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ce…5d60backed Yes0c47,099$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7afa…fb71backed Yes0c47,093$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.28137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193a…35c0backed Yes0c46,842$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc420…0d1abacked Yes0c46,398$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.19110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b6…5399backed Yes0c46,393$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.18147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…a9a5backed Yes0c44,847$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e6…de7cbacked Yes0c44,480$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.44130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc878…9fc4backed Yes0c43,942$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.83137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23e…9c13backed Yes0c42,581$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes0c34,397$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.44185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-77.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb2…8f6dbacked Yes0c33,238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes1c32,689$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.44147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c9…1a1dbacked Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…cf07backed Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb572…f89dbacked Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a7…7030backed Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9116…f6f3backed Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c0…27c8backed Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2328…107bbacked Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf82c…5500backed Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ed…5359backed Yes0c31,908$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.