Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd58d2a98a7a17291cecbff258f6742786d0887181156e481537b9761d73e2115

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 16, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,859,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,468,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,859,903 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,045 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	14c	258,248$37,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,366.53	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes	7c	91,200$6,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,232.77	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63d8…4ff7backed Yes	6c	87,482$4,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,986.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	14c	70,145$9,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,672.94	129	21.7%28 W · 101 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes	19c	58,413$11,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,200.71	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes	14c	57,470$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-4.2wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	16c	53,196$8,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,369.7	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb913…e52fbacked Yes	12c	51,029$6,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,113	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	1c	44,631$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.63	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes	13c	43,341$5,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,484.73	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+106.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	11c	42,764$4,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,860.71	123	33.3%41 W · 82 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa0…e79bbacked Yes	12c	41,000$4,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,919.95	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x105a…e06fbacked Yes	12c	40,014$4,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,801.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes	19c	34,401$6,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,534.46	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes	12c	31,547$3,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,838.43	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Yes	13c	30,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.16per pick	21cpaid	+304.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	12c	25,716$3,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,176.49	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Yes	4c	25,000$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Yes	4c	23,600$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.61	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes	14c	21,429$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	15c	17,372$2,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,603.13	175	60%105 W · 70 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	4c	15,698$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.65	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes	17c	15,444$2,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,595.48	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes	9c	14,518$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.3	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes	13c	14,460$1,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,877.07	33	3%1 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…2d23backed Yes	14c	12,544$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,705.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes	15c	11,960$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,746.25	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes	18c	11,433$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,066.86	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9298…b430backed Yes	4c	11,211$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+203.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426c…ce76backed Yes	12c	10,102$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x17b0…4041backed Yes	20c	10,050$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes	17c	10,000$1,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,737.31	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+241.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+81%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Yes	21c	9,575$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Yes	17c	9,497$1,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,652.43	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2708…42a8backed Yes	16c	9,394$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	15cpaid	+238.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	12c	9,080$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.81	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…3589backed Yes	19c	9,069$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,723.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x610a…1395backed Yes	4c	8,889$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1be9…47e1backed Yes	18c	8,700$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes	16c	8,610$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.52	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	14c	8,455$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.97	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+92.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b6…c62bbacked Yes	14c	7,149$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	20cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	19c	6,899$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.27	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	12c	6,566$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.85	48	4.2%2 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732d…95e1backed Yes	0c	6,348$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc469…dd61backed Yes	19c	6,170$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.3	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd1…1798backed Yes	19c	6,051$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.6	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	15c	5,910$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.39	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+156.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes	17c	5,882$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes	15c	5,549$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.18	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes	12c	5,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+137.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ff…29b5backed Yes	19c	5,329$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes	19c	5,263$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes	17c	5,075$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c2…23e2backed Yes	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd98…129cbacked Yes	13c	4,615$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes	19c	4,517$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.54	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked Yes	13c	4,473$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.43	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x719a…509ebacked Yes	13c	4,472$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes	12c	4,445$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…7b07backed Yes	11c	4,396$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.22	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+1,187.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0877…0eecbacked Yes	12c	4,272$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.12	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c8…6e68backed Yes	4c	4,192$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.02	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes	13c	4,147$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.65	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes	13c	4,039$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.07	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656d…de5fbacked Yes	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes	11c	3,740$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.4	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aae…b5a0backed Yes	17c	3,639$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8131…83f8backed Yes	16c	3,618$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.03	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes	15c	3,606$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.14	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90fa…b1b3backed Yes	14c	3,550$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…be6fbacked Yes	19c	3,421$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df0…48f0backed Yes	16c	3,315$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Yes	18c	3,225$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.48	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	3c	3,185$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.88	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	6c	3,175$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.88	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,154$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.08	187	7%13 W · 174 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9a…ff79backed Yes	17c	3,114$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.58	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Yes	1c	3,111$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	15c	3,040$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.5	164	47.6%78 W · 86 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes	18c	3,024$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.32	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	291	36.8%107 W · 184 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ce…420cbacked Yes	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c6…ff70backed Yes	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ec…3cbabacked Yes	19c	2,985$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0585…1de9backed Yes	20c	2,900$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc783…ea0ebacked Yes	12c	2,891$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5a16…6b26backed Yes	6c	2,837$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…2584backed Yes	20c	2,800$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…b7e2backed Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	21c	2,738$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	36cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	12c	2,732$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.26	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes	13c	2,726$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.36	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4338…b376backed Yes	19c	2,632$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Yes	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes	4c	2,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes	13c	2,347$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.23	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes	13c	2,332$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.15	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?this page
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? No won
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Girona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes won
Will RB Leipzig win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event