TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,952,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,652,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,952,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9565…806fbacked Yes0c1,978,447$5,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,935.3450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…6d5abacked Yes0c1,957,292$5,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,871.8850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…ee66backed Yes0c799,474$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.4260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120a…6456backed Yes0c699,718$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.16911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-70.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6e…82e7backed Yes0c530,740$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a8…3e33backed Yes0c530,504$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54e…8c3abacked Yes0c515,622$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc52…1caabacked Yes0c484,623$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df3…57e5backed Yes0c461,587$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d4d…111fbacked Yes0c452,529$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92bd…4c27backed Yes0c451,818$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99e…a4c5backed Yes0c410,481$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c399,999$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11a…5777backed Yes0c397,999$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe37d…feb8backed Yes0c364,898$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.69425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-65.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c350,464$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.39130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes0c330,346$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.8512359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes0c311,295$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.89484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c303,106$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.0712921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b40…01e7backed Yes0c272,705$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c263,974$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.26244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…07cbbacked Yes0c258,215$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.651118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-73.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c72…bb70backed Yes0c253,772$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e9…0bd6backed Yes0c247,609$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdd…1e25backed Yes0c243,022$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c227,558$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.66190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5495…ea4dbacked Yes0c209,112$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.3470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4a…15e3backed Yes0c183,639$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45be…33b4backed Yes0c182,914$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…c7a7backed Yes0c179,375$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a05…2d93backed Yes0c177,634$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0222…2307backed Yes0c176,933$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306e…e925backed Yes0c176,349$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.05100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d2c…a14fbacked Yes0c173,672$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.0190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaced…6719backed Yes0c171,546$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a37…91aabacked Yes0c164,707$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.3940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a8…9ddebacked Yes0c161,222$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49f…4b68backed Yes0c143,580$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ca…ec75backed Yes0c137,813$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.44140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d4…28babacked Yes0c134,217$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d3…ef16backed Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc64…25c5backed Yes0c129,472$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x065b…e66dbacked Yes0c128,091$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3195…66f4backed Yes0c127,809$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6838…f5a9backed Yes0c126,000$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c125,555$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.62422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca2…74c6backed Yes0c123,326$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa946…a8bdbacked Yes0c120,142$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4820…9720backed Yes0c120,093$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…8dbcbacked Yes0c119,306$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee1…afd8backed Yes0c119,125$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d7…c683backed Yes0c118,116$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb5…5b5fbacked Yes0c116,651$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e8…a597backed Yes0c114,598$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.79110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4630…fe96backed Yes0c111,864$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1751…3535backed Yes0c111,864$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb3…6078backed Yes0c108,894$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c5…4207backed Yes0c105,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc58…71acbacked Yes0c97,248$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df1…bf04backed Yes0c96,780$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…8e54backed Yes0c96,652$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x443a…4da5backed Yes0c94,236$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.71100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…e52fbacked Yes0c94,236$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8b…57f2backed Yes0c94,233$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…a759backed Yes0c94,233$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6924…bdebbacked Yes0c94,233$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac87…3059backed Yes0c94,233$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c4…c602backed Yes0c94,233$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aad…6455backed Yes0c94,233$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e24…4bdbbacked Yes0c94,233$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc9…10cdbacked Yes0c94,233$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…41c6backed Yes0c93,333$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c85,705$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.71333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57f…2400backed Yes0c81,053$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4a…b3eebacked Yes0c80,933$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b5…4f84backed Yes0c80,859$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb65…ec9abacked Yes0c80,142$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd375…d575backed Yes0c80,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf19…b4e1backed Yes0c78,757$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x029d…ebaabacked Yes0c71,458$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…d249backed Yes0c70,668$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf014…3063backed Yes0c69,389$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…6e54backed Yes0c67,456$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d10…5c3fbacked Yes0c66,808$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437e…2144backed Yes0c66,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…58d5backed Yes0c66,279$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.84100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff3…465ebacked Yes0c61,186$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe95a…6c44backed Yes0c60,779$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.34120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x193a…35c0backed Yes0c60,010$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29d…9dd2backed Yes0c59,885$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x015f…13d4backed Yes0c59,792$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ca…007cbacked Yes0c59,792$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b98…7983backed Yes0c59,743$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca0…028bbacked Yes0c59,743$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.23714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick5cpaid-56.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6976…401ebacked Yes0c59,743$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d87…a8f3backed Yes0c59,628$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6676…5f4abacked Yes0c59,615$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf4f…cd82backed Yes0c59,562$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6970%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbc…a075backed Yes0c59,562$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…63bbbacked Yes0c59,562$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.