TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,584,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,496,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,584,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 638 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c2,174,258$7,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,990.631010%1 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick1cpaid+259.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c1,561,348$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.99240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1efd…1106backed Yes0c1,320,408$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.82714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick1cpaid+847.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…85a6backed Yes0c1,250,866$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.73137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick1cpaid+355.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c1,198,997$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.761915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-74.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c1,157,871$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.1712921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c498,362$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.5244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c321,108$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.03190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes1c200,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c187,811$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.05100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c152,878$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.39293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c152,721$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Yes0c137,685$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes0c132,039$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.01484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcb…b4f6backed Yes0c123,445$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d5…9f5abacked Yes0c107,461$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.38140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c96,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c92,886$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.43166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c87,068$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2229…32d2backed Yes0c76,714$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a97…99bebacked Yes0c59,292$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.88120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce5…5c7bbacked Yes0c59,292$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.88120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e3…3192backed Yes0c59,292$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.88110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76d…8491backed Yes0c59,263$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.79110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe07c…3c8bbacked Yes0c59,263$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.79120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30aa…a28bbacked Yes0c59,263$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.79120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcc…da42backed Yes0c59,247$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.74120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4e…c135backed Yes0c59,227$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.68120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8737…94d5backed Yes0c59,185$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.55137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bc…4876backed Yes0c59,185$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.55120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe95a…6c44backed Yes0c58,846$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.54120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…58d5backed Yes0c56,587$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.76100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…d249backed Yes0c55,409$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.23100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443a…4da5backed Yes0c54,151$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.45100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe822…84bdbacked Yes0c54,119$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.36150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…e92cbacked Yes0c54,119$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.36147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-87.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3361…1150backed Yes0c54,119$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.36137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c4…2e45backed Yes0c54,119$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.36130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab9…540dbacked Yes0c53,846$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.54140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab44…549bbacked Yes0c53,846$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.54130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207f…3d23backed Yes0c53,736$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.21130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfe…757fbacked Yes0c53,736$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.21130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeff…7e03backed Yes0c53,736$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.21130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb69…9b84backed Yes0c53,616$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.85130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f5…58bebacked Yes0c53,616$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.85130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ca…ec75backed Yes0c53,192$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.58140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c53,073$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.71422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c1…86a2backed Yes0c53,064$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.19130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f0…c92bbacked Yes0c52,230$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.69147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-88.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x669b…45dbbacked Yes0c51,569$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.71130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…7a9ebacked Yes0c51,503$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.51130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5125backed Yes0c51,341$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.02147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…3031backed Yes0c51,180$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.54130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c4…c602backed Yes0c50,879$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.64110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d81…f14bbacked Yes0c50,728$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.18120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…3c3fbacked Yes0c50,583$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.75147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe40…638fbacked Yes0c50,478$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes1c50,322$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.61156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+250.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cff…b144backed Yes0c50,314$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.94120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…1205backed Yes0c50,272$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.82120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa595…95a5backed Yes0c50,153$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3f…b579backed Yes0c50,119$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7fd…d22fbacked Yes0c50,109$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaded…094abacked Yes0c50,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c50,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…2ce3backed Yes0c49,863$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.59147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…68b7backed Yes0c49,739$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.22130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4954…3882backed Yes0c49,711$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.13130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca7…7a6bbacked Yes0c49,666$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7800…73d2backed Yes0c49,545$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.63140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098d…77f7backed Yes0c49,498$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.49130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c4…3279backed Yes0c49,303$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.91156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-90.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dba…c8efbacked Yes0c49,206$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.62130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0986…621abacked Yes0c49,098$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.29147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…fa3fbacked Yes0c49,010$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.03130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b8c…9a50backed Yes0c48,968$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c48,930$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.79160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4895…4612backed Yes0c48,804$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.41130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc9…10cdbacked Yes0c48,156$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.47110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…3fa1backed Yes0c48,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…a759backed Yes0c47,258$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.77100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes0c46,999$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-77.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8b…57f2backed Yes0c46,019$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.06119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aad…6455backed Yes0c44,486$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.46100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6863…a8c7backed Yes0c42,972$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e2…037ebacked Yes0c42,113$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.34120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d82…73fabacked Yes0c42,113$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.34137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8133…e56fbacked Yes0c42,113$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.34120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf243…c8f2backed Yes0c42,113$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.34137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437d…2424backed Yes0c42,113$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.34120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac87…3059backed Yes0c41,230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.69110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x184e…3df4backed Yes0c40,485$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe64…2fd2backed Yes0c40,377$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb2…8f6dbacked Yes0c40,102$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3d…16a3backed Yes0c38,990$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f1b…e9eebacked Yes0c38,433$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…0528backed Yes0c38,433$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…2c91backed Yes0c38,433$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ea…448cbacked Yes0c38,433$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472d…944cbacked Yes0c38,399$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.