TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,357,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,627,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,357,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c543,689$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.86280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes1c466,241$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.260%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c308,335$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.67240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c249,999$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05012921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes0c172,291$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.16484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c167,012$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.72244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes1c153,867$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.9312359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2fb…4a34backed Yes1c112,145$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e57…5a98backed Yes1c111,749$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4078…3a9cbacked Yes1c111,600$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb7…536dbacked Yes1c110,737$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf288…c041backed Yes1c110,391$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe765…14d8backed Yes1c110,344$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…dde0backed Yes1c110,111$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…af71backed Yes1c110,091$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb925…4f3bbacked Yes1c110,008$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1928…53c4backed Yes1c109,992$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7b…7344backed Yes1c109,968$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b14…099dbacked Yes1c109,890$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c91…d1d4backed Yes1c109,789$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe008…eb64backed Yes1c109,693$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed1…c027backed Yes1c109,487$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3a…6358backed Yes1c109,439$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bdc…24a4backed Yes1c109,359$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…5af9backed Yes1c109,212$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f5…a5b1backed Yes1c109,084$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb02…176ebacked Yes1c109,017$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb894…ede4backed Yes1c108,881$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b7…c3f1backed Yes1c108,774$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b6…9736backed Yes1c108,656$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91f…514fbacked Yes1c108,505$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cc…4373backed Yes1c108,404$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc3…dd53backed Yes1c108,381$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312e…921cbacked Yes1c108,274$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x804b…049bbacked Yes1c108,113$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ae…fc28backed Yes1c107,707$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f78…a45bbacked Yes1c107,654$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f9…b8ffbacked Yes1c107,368$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…7dcebacked Yes1c107,279$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf626…d516backed Yes1c107,265$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda39…90a2backed Yes1c107,224$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9215…535bbacked Yes1c107,221$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6de…720dbacked Yes1c107,200$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…16e3backed Yes1c107,100$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a79…2ff0backed Yes1c107,094$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bce…0eb5backed Yes1c106,897$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4576…0135backed Yes1c106,550$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…d06cbacked Yes1c106,526$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a2…ad66backed Yes1c106,513$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x867c…a2dbbacked Yes1c106,426$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061d…f64bbacked Yes1c106,405$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c98…ea22backed Yes1c106,336$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad30…e29abacked Yes1c106,214$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf516…5d47backed Yes1c106,118$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e80…f0f1backed Yes1c105,992$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316a…f887backed Yes1c105,945$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b2…3ff1backed Yes1c105,844$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fae…1f8fbacked Yes1c105,645$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01d…d9cfbacked Yes1c105,548$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cb…ececbacked Yes1c105,487$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fed…c919backed Yes1c105,477$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda5…5c53backed Yes1c105,321$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e9…dcfebacked Yes1c105,151$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf78c…22e1backed Yes1c104,978$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf560…235bbacked Yes1c104,953$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0127…b20dbacked Yes1c104,932$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f2…b74bbacked Yes1c104,882$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aaf…4c78backed Yes1c104,752$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa634…4deabacked Yes1c104,668$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x846e…00a7backed Yes1c104,651$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ae…f308backed Yes1c104,580$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe5…dacdbacked Yes1c104,549$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1d…87f0backed Yes1c104,460$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…b3a2backed Yes1c104,394$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…d7d8backed Yes1c104,351$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd287…1ed1backed Yes1c104,197$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc3…f508backed Yes1c104,161$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a82…bac1backed Yes1c104,095$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864e…67afbacked Yes1c104,047$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c9…c03ebacked Yes1c103,816$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b7…98e0backed Yes1c103,573$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda46…5522backed Yes1c103,530$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cd…07bcbacked Yes1c103,510$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b89…af89backed Yes1c103,497$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b6…59e8backed Yes1c103,432$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e4c…59dfbacked Yes1c103,350$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe2…67f0backed Yes1c103,338$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6975…bdbfbacked Yes1c103,256$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…7bd9backed Yes1c103,160$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4318…0c7cbacked Yes1c103,114$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc43f…cd2cbacked Yes1c102,954$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f11…60cdbacked Yes1c102,941$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…7f83backed Yes1c102,915$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad2…e35cbacked Yes1c102,842$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd55…e383backed Yes1c102,805$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…89c6backed Yes1c102,803$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x688d…5080backed Yes1c102,766$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe50…503dbacked Yes1c102,702$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf820…93c1backed Yes1c102,573$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x358e…baafbacked Yes1c102,451$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.