TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,136,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,986,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,136,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,036 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes3c729,466$23,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,087.84333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes2c424,074$9,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,275.5611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes4c362,668$13,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,002.48714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick3cpaid+663.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked Yes4c276,541$10,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,232.021010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-86.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes3c124,500$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.983828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes2c119,313$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.2412921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes4c110,639$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.332934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes4c96,090$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,755.223016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes4c82,643$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.74273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes4c78,159$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.741526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes4c77,608$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.53205%1 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes3c76,363$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.82195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+137.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes4c72,777$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.642516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes4c60,020$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.412147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes1c54,144$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…f152backed Yes4c52,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…3577backed Yes4c52,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…ef38backed Yes4c48,645$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7062433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes4c44,144$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.1912359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes3c42,442$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.1416447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes2c41,744$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e57…7168backed Yes4c37,656$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7790…e55abacked Yes4c36,758$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes4c36,156$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.273839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb92…30eebacked Yes4c35,990$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe760…561dbacked Yes4c35,838$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6978…36fcbacked Yes4c35,750$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483a…cd45backed Yes4c35,709$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea8…148fbacked Yes4c35,480$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes2c35,059$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.88616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick2cpaid+669.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb43…0522backed Yes4c34,882$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd594…77ecbacked Yes3c34,683$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…ebf6backed Yes3c34,592$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e0…effabacked Yes2c34,412$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac9…fa23backed Yes4c34,392$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4323…2bc6backed Yes4c33,466$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e61…94e2backed Yes4c32,979$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4aa…baccbacked Yes4c32,817$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf616…dd81backed Yes4c32,746$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaa…0cfabacked Yes4c32,568$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05cd…d6b8backed Yes4c32,192$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff4…46b8backed Yes4c32,124$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d79…8707backed Yes4c32,117$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…a0e9backed Yes4c31,935$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5c…ed72backed Yes4c31,717$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7306…f39cbacked Yes4c31,443$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba6…37e9backed Yes4c31,331$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…1a65backed Yes4c31,311$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e2…9a94backed Yes4c31,106$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6301…b997backed Yes2c30,673$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+276.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7528…2eefbacked Yes4c30,580$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9a…df72backed Yes4c30,556$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb7…6f09backed Yes4c30,456$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ff…0db7backed Yes4c30,410$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2807…3335backed Yes4c30,339$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb287…c51fbacked Yes4c30,114$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbb…00a6backed Yes4c30,070$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc471…62dbbacked Yes4c30,031$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…bdf4backed Yes4c30,025$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a0…6149backed Yes4c29,929$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7a…b2f5backed Yes4c29,914$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1d…35ecbacked Yes4c29,826$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae4a…3439backed Yes4c29,754$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1549…f3aebacked Yes4c29,649$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…c715backed Yes4c29,637$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e62…5f8abacked Yes4c29,461$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64b…2250backed Yes4c28,918$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…3a50backed Yes4c28,842$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc3…fcb5backed Yes4c28,581$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…344ebacked Yes4c28,545$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes4c28,298$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.012152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes4c28,158$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.573225%8 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a5…a748backed Yes4c28,011$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x998b…cc97backed Yes4c26,924$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20bb…2a0dbacked Yes4c26,522$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaae…6446backed Yes4c25,960$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeea…71bebacked Yes4c25,924$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2631…ca5bbacked Yes4c25,815$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes4c25,732$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9505133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c26…1b21backed Yes4c24,472$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes2c23,824$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.791910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+187.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes2c23,649$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.94150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…3e8fbacked Yes4c23,272$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes4c23,251$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.41458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46c8…56f7backed Yes4c21,978$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa074…f1c9backed Yes4c21,953$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae4…d9c9backed Yes4c21,810$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…5930backed Yes4c21,806$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a18…c094backed Yes2c21,572$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.72250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,392.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a82…6f45backed Yes4c21,559$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f4…a2c4backed Yes4c21,481$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6780…ff52backed Yes4c21,456$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc621…a390backed Yes4c21,439$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebb…9b98backed Yes4c21,359$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c3…682cbacked Yes4c21,334$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c6…1155backed Yes4c21,228$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac5…8ba8backed Yes4c21,218$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531b…5903backed Yes4c21,097$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5704…7b9cbacked Yes4c20,999$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2a…9954backed Yes4c20,968$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.