TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,320,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,086,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,320,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes2c1,269,599$28,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240,689.74333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes2c575,858$13,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562,420.153125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41e7…de49backed No78c316,000$247,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247,297250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ab…e443backed Yes60c294,378$176,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,698.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes6c276,548$15,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260,800.0112921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes2c266,077$5,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260,178.91195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+137.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes2c234,685$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230,826.63447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes3c229,787$7,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222,599.6611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes5c212,676$10,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,281.13273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33d1…546bbacked Yes60c204,005$122,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,376.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes2c184,963$4,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180,956.53616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick2cpaid+669.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes47c181,926$85,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,162.023748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes2c159,433$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156,448.28714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick3cpaid+663.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes2c157,298$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,753.89185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+146.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes36c154,305$55,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,188.743839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes7c127,396$8,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,105.6512147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes2c108,214$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,049.9166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes5c108,105$5,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,451.512516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf434…4244backed Yes2c105,529$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,415.47250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,396.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf050…6c03backed Yes2c104,634$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,540.11250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,398.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b7…eb22backed Yes61c103,524$62,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,601.621250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7a…a932backed Yes2c103,227$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,162.46250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x868e…1afabacked Yes2c101,350$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,322.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed No0c100,000$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes2c98,398$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,540.071910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+187.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf7…73eebacked Yes2c93,985$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,104.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2035…3fdcbacked Yes2c93,949$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,070.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2554…c442backed Yes2c92,611$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,758.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f6…58d2backed Yes2c91,337$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,509.77250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No0c91,299$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.364233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d59…7efdbacked Yes2c87,911$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,145.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,559.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf7…e47fbacked Yes2c85,280$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,573.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec8…52e5backed Yes2c85,206$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,500.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,565.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x969d…3392backed Yes2c84,496$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,806.08250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7c…5b4bbacked Yes2c84,221$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,533.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,564.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d21…f91ebacked Yes2c79,585$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,993.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7657…9d01backed Yes2c74,539$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,044.29250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,393.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes2c74,233$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,966.11293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0c…aaaabacked Yes2c73,858$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,380.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725b…c22ebacked Yes2c72,348$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,900.551100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a18…c094backed Yes2c72,167$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,719.28250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,392.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01f8…51dcbacked Yes2c72,051$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,609.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x443f…c69cbacked Yes2c70,251$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,845.98250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a4…8d8abacked Yes2c70,052$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,649.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,564.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf456…00a1backed Yes2c68,777$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,401.46250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb411…dde5backed Yes2c68,144$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,780.631100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05f1…9357backed No73c68,000$49,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,36810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6e…f32fbacked No73c68,000$49,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,50410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfd…da22backed Yes27c68,000$18,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,3681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a37…90fdbacked No73c68,000$49,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,50410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x856e…77e6backed Yes27c68,000$18,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,5041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab25…a2e7backed No73c67,943$49,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,326.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…4629backed Yes2c67,928$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,568.95250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…e7cfbacked Yes2c66,234$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,908.831100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…d2b9backed Yes2c64,959$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,676.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+2,433.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b8…9cf7backed No78c64,000$49,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,79210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac1…ab49backed Yes22c64,000$14,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,7921100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+350.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0d…e4bcbacked No78c63,000$49,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,32910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5580…f941backed Yes22c63,000$13,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,3921100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+363%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e40…94ecbacked Yes22c63,000$13,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,4551100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick22cpaid+365.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dff…89b5backed No79c63,000$49,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,70710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…e2acbacked Yes21c63,000$13,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,7071100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+373.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf8…c20cbacked Yes21c63,000$13,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,7071100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+373.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8707…168fbacked No79c63,000$49,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,45510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a85…9f2abacked Yes22c63,000$13,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,4551100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick22cpaid+365.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e21…ea70backed No79c63,000$49,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,64410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…8b9ebacked Yes21c63,000$13,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,6441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+371.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed78…926abacked No80c63,000$50,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,08510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5451…8b4bbacked Yes21c63,000$12,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,0851100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick21cpaid+387.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8da…e045backed Yes22c63,000$13,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,3291100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+360.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9185…e49dbacked No78c63,000$49,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,39210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0b…12bebacked No78c63,000$49,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,32910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5b…d403backed Yes22c63,000$13,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,3291100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+360.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed7f…b8d8backed No79c63,000$49,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,45510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f05…7b57backed No79c63,000$49,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,70710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd7…b6fcbacked No79c63,000$49,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,51810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d8…a131backed Yes21c63,000$13,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,5181100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+367.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes3c60,302$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,623.851010%1 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick1cpaid+259.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5b…1cd3backed Yes2c59,715$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,520.71100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Yes3c58,734$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,870.161136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+304.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes2c55,000$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,954.91747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+306.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbaf…79a2backed Yes8c54,000$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,8961100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,215.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa861…c6ccbacked Yes7c53,500$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,915.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,392.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79a9…ba8cbacked Yes7c53,000$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,2371100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,308.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92e3…a13abacked Yes6c53,000$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,0321100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,685.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd5f…e720backed Yes2c52,741$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,686.18250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc84c…5d36backed Yes2c52,492$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,442.161100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked No31c52,095$15,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,896.1960%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c7…e765backed Yes5c52,000$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,1921100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf77…bd9fbacked Yes6c52,000$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick6cpaid+1,718.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c7…2488backed Yes2c51,734$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,698.831100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes6c51,344$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,349.322227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No0c51,000$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7d…1f87backed Yes59c50,533$29,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,568.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab42…90debacked Yes2c50,233$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,228.34250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes7c48,519$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,922.512934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a81…787fbacked Yes2c46,112$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,189.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Yes60c45,601$27,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,070.475100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb150…726bbacked Yes2c42,581$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,728.891100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes4c42,014$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,251.321330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+147%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.