TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d08…eda0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.75
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.99
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$450.2
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.74
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.28
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$234.33
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,105.84
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$75
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.38
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$62.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+651.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+651.9%+$2,167.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$47.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.