Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcbf3d943b574e752e64c3da0a1f01e0d0f4ae9efa6443d818f3854d84d4da83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Juventus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $569,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $683,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Juventus | 32c | 130,862$41,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,424.52 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Real Madrid | 72c | 49,674$35,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,869.78 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 43,678$31,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,666.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Juventus | 30c | 38,462$11,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,489.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Real Madrid | 78c | 33,009$25,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,255.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Real Madrid | 64c | 22,339$14,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,078.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Juventus | 29c | 22,284$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,409.62 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Juventus | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Juventus | 29c | 19,033$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.55 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Juventus | 28c | 18,830$5,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.79 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Real Madrid | 70c | 14,285$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…9c62backed Real Madrid | 72c | 13,830$9,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Juventus | 30c | 10,786$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.87 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Real Madrid | 71c | 9,874$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Real Madrid | 71c | 9,471$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.53 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Juventus | 6c | 8,352$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.41 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Real Madrid | 77c | 7,499$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.73 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Real Madrid | 69c | 6,663$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.2 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Real Madrid | 67c | 6,100$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Juventus | 30c | 5,925$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Juventus | 28c | 5,463$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.67 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 5,380$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Juventus | 28c | 5,148$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.18 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Real Madrid | 72c | 4,248$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.46 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Real Madrid | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Juventus | 28c | 4,050$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Juventus | 29c | 3,001$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.29 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Real Madrid | 71c | 2,974$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Juventus | 38c | 2,781$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.73 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Real Madrid | 70c | 2,763$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Real Madrid | 72c | 2,639$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.1 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Juventus | 3c | 2,612$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Real Madrid | 63c | 2,422$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Real Madrid | 67c | 2,320$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Juventus | 27c | 2,179$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid | 71c | 2,020$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.75 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Real Madrid | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Juventus | 26c | 1,954$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.87 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Juventus | 29c | 1,856$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.28 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Real Madrid | 74c | 1,856$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.49 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Real Madrid | 71c | 1,823$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Real Madrid | 72c | 1,813$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Juventus | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Real Madrid | 70c | 1,714$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.55 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Juventus | 29c | 1,655$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.95 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed Juventus | 6c | 1,644$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…7f7cbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 1,472$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Juventus | 29c | 1,420$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.8 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…f770backed Real Madrid | 71c | 1,404$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Real Madrid | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Real Madrid | 67c | 1,351$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.95 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Real Madrid | 75c | 1,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Real Madrid | 71c | 1,267$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.33 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Juventus | 29c | 1,212$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.45 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…b23bbacked Juventus | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Juventus | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Real Madrid | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Juventus | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Juventus | 27c | 999.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Juventus | 27c | 962.26$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…57c3backed Real Madrid | 72c | 953.33$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Real Madrid | 71c | 892.76$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Juventus | 29c | 863.01$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Juventus | 29c | 855.98$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.24 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Real Madrid | 72c | 835.67$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Juventus | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Real Madrid | 67c | 760.35$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Real Madrid | 67c | 751.94$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Juventus | 35c | 734.29$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…f91bbacked Real Madrid | 64c | 694.13$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Real Madrid | 73c | 685.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Real Madrid | 69c | 645$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Real Madrid | 71c | 641.96$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Real Madrid | 74c | 610.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.99 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Juventus | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Juventus | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Real Madrid | 72c | 592.99$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.09 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Real Madrid | 69c | 558.62$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Real Madrid | 72c | 554.17$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Real Madrid | 71c | 545.46$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Real Madrid | 72c | 536$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Juventus | 9c | 527.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Real Madrid | 72c | 516.67$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Real Madrid | 67c | 516.25$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 500$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Real Madrid | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Juventus | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Juventus | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Juventus | 27c | 488.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Juventus | 28c | 481.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Real Madrid | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 450.04$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Real Madrid | 71c | 443.18$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Juventus | 25c | 443$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Real Madrid | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Real Madrid | 71c | 422$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Real Madrid | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Real Madrid | 67c | 405.78$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Real Madrid | 74c | 399.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.