TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e7a…6f28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,790.1
Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.8
Wimbledon: Munar vs. Bublik backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.58
Wimbledon: Mochizuki vs. Khachanovbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,527.29
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Tien backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,506.78
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+164.7%+$2,196.73
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$793.6
Wimbledon: Fognini vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$502.6
Wimbledon: Bonzi vs. Medvedevbacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$234
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Evans vs. Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.8
Terra Wortmann: Bublik vs. Khachanovbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$57.66
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,258.89
Terra Wortmann: Fonseca vs. Cobollibacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
HSBC Championships: De Minaur vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$637.5
Terra Wortmann: Rublev vs. Ofner backed Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+128.6%+$1,641.38
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Boss Open: Auger-Aliassime vs. Fritzbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,915.71
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+195.6%+$2,983.18
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,323
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,584Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+39%+$1,396.2
French Open: Boisson vs. Gauff backed Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$824
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Orioles vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$248.24
Cardinals vs. Piratesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+110.3%+$441.37
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,043.72
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+93.9%+$751.18
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$261.2
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$40.76
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,899Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$599.68
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$246.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$620
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$290
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+300%+$750
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$500
Will Juventus beat Wydad AC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$514.28
Inter Milan vs. Urawa: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,212.17
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$101.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. Elliottbacked Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+400%+$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$533
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.