TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$275,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No24c111,120$26,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,224.4212536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes76c33,409$25,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,077.2117852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60012359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes76c20,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8006058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No25c20,000$5,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.9723942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes76c14,425$10,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.4538935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes77c8,668$6,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.6617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No25c7,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75010040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No25c6,760$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.113538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No1c5,933$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f7…ef96backed Yes75c5,697$4,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.44per pick61cpaid-77.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed Yes78c5,327$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.015052%26 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes74c5,155$3,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.2818758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Yes79c4,815$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…2a3ebacked Yes77c4,343$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.071369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No23c4,240$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.252138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4837…9103backed Yes76c3,982$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.59540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No13c3,629$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5630754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes77c2,857$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.144254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471b…d632backed Yes75c2,780$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes77c2,714$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.436232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd82c…acb0backed No17c2,486$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e4…38eabacked Yes75c2,400$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes77c2,400$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55218160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4451…79f7backed No26c2,250$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x273a…840abacked No20c2,133$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No27c2,050$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…d816backed Yes79c1,997$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.434100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No24c1,868$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.434449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes77c1,765$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes77c1,613$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.975352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed No28c1,461$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.32825%7 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No26c1,340$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3915442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0a…e004backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed Yes75c1,330$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.463545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes77c1,298$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.1114955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes77c1,298$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.545764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes78c1,259$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.722138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes71c1,140$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.1325450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes78c1,003$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6616447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x249f…5981backed Yes73c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.92339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No54c938.74$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.923745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b29…d732backed Yes74c920$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes75c891.64$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.911877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c35…3702backed Yes75c694.7$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7086…a3adbacked Yes65c648.9$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed No23c633$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.594647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No8c555$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.42250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No16c540.39$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4136851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes78c520$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.43740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf969…7ce8backed Yes78c509.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes79c506$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.264161%25 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13512956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes78c476.61$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.851478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No25c446.66$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6744955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes74c408.74$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.053852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked No21c404.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.15829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc00…122dbacked Yes75c402.75$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.69955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8813333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes74c379.6$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4238048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes77c371.7$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.492958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.210850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes73c328.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8218950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No8c326.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0917348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49f…3408backed Yes76c310.53$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.531850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes74c309.01$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0115966.7%106 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked No28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…3291backed Yes72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes68c271.7$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8920667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x705a…1678backed Yes73c269$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6718650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes79c253$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.133372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Yes75c250.63$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.663754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8965…fda0backed Yes61c244.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.271838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes77c232.47$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.475743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2623…23f1backed Yes76c231.05$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.051172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes50c225.26$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.836858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes76c198.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.257876.9%60 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No44c185.66$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.714647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…82fabacked Yes79c175.61$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.881172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0729…04e5backed Yes75c174.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No24c171.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0524047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Yes59c170.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.833043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f9…6d62backed Yes69c165.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…8284backed Yes75c165$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-54.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x02d3…eb60backed Yes76c163.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed No26c152.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc84c…4b4dbacked Yes76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1424455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c8…0de1backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8726443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.