TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe62d…dae3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.12
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+37%+$11.1
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST2281.8%18 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+33.7%+$13.48
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$33.83
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+66.1%+$33.03
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$28.24
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Canucks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.53
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+61.6%+$24.63
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$32.5
Senators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Mamelodi Sundowns?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Atlético Madrid beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$39.98
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+150%+$30
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.97
Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.14
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Prochazka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Holland vs. de Ridderbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dern vs. Ribasbacked Ribas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ponzinibbio vs. Harrisbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.6
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37%+$29.59
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice beat Bodo Glimt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Dynamo Kyiv beat RFS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Rangers beat Union St.-Gilloise?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.95
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.7%+$108.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Los Ratones (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.