NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38a46dc3f8436068872a39414d39ca043af3640e342d89002b4bfbfba7541630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 589 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 33,709$12,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,129.2 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Timberwolves | 57c | 28,645$16,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,249.02 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…bf9ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 18,000$9,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,540 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…f4dabacked Grizzlies | 47c | 18,000$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,540 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Grizzlies | 54c | 13,879$7,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.32 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 42c | 11,375$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…0577backed Grizzlies | 48c | 10,041$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…29babacked Timberwolves | 52c | 10,039$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 40c | 8,285$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.29 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 7,948$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.03 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Timberwolves | 63c | 7,777$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.73 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 7,239$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Grizzlies | 47c | 6,978$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 6,892$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.38 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 6,568$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.07 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Grizzlies | 34c | 5,524$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.8 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Grizzlies | 46c | 5,150$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.25 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies | 31c | 4,301$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.96 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 3,889$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.67 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,776$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 3,566$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.19 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,471$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,000$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.31 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 2,852$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,547$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 2,531$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,446$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.81 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,248$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.8 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.84 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 2,158$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.34 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.36 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Timberwolves | 75c | 2,062$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.37 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,055$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.4 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,950$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.31 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,922$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.74 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,799$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.59 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,715$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.33 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,639$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.17 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 1,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,413$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.57 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,368$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.39 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,351$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.31 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,257$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.48 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Timberwolves | 2c | 1,182$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,163$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,128$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.19 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,070$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,051$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.94 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,035$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,022$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.65 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…857ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Grizzlies | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,000$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e9…7003backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Grizzlies | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Timberwolves | 54c | 999.9$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.94 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 987.02$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.97 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Timberwolves | 66c | 976.69$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.37 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…0c34backed Grizzlies | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 918.95$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.67 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Grizzlies | 36c | 886$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.44 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…26bbbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 867.16$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 59c | 831.11$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.65 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…af5abacked Timberwolves | 60c | 790.28$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.63 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 766.08$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…3750backed Grizzlies | 50c | 750$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…9ef2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 721.78$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.07 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Timberwolves | 59c | 709.59$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.75 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…2a7bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 704.01$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 51c | 701.92$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.98 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…7a73backed Timberwolves | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 57c | 692.68$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.92 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies | 46c | 690.63$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.97 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Timberwolves | 28c | 678.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Grizzlies | 46c | 667.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Timberwolves | 53c | 659.26$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 46c | 654.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.65 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b3…96bebacked Timberwolves | 59c | 638.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed Timberwolves | 62c | 614.75$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 610.57$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 587.1$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…451dbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 578.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.74 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 578$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.24 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 577.27$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Grizzlies | 38c | 563.38$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.95 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 562.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.52 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Timberwolves | 56c | 535.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 534.68$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.07 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…6912backed Timberwolves | 47c | 527.66$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.